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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture Statistics

Which Statistics Grad School If You’re Sick Of Hocus-Pocus P-values?

I received this query from a reader and thought it important enough for all of us to answer. I was hoping you could provide some advice for an aspiring statistician.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability & Statistics Cannot Prove Cause

Correlation I was at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness conference in Ontario (LA) California and gave my paper The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause, which…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Can God Know The Future?

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Does God…
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Posted inCulture

This Week In Doom: Utopia Or Death (Baseball’s and Yours)

I For One Welcome Our New Robot Masters Computerized Umpire Calls Shots At San Rafael Pacifics Baseball Game The San Rafael Pacifics are no strangers to promotions, but a computerized…
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Posted inCulture

Remnant: Archbishop Cupich Gives Up The Ghost

Today's post is at The Remnant: Archbishop Cupich Gives Up The Ghost: What do you think the Catholic Church, that great representation of Christ's body on earth, in Chicagoland is…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Writer Says Discovery Of Extraterrestrial Life Would Be Bad News For God. God Says Nope

The danger of writing about that in which you are ignorant is that you're bound to look foolish. Let's see an example. Jeff Schweitzer, who bills himself as a scientist…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause. New Paper

Cancer of the albondigas is horrifyingly under-diagnosed. See your doctor today and ask him if Profitizol is right for you. Today's post, in a way, is at Arxiv: The Crisis…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stream: Vatican Environmental Conference: A Marriage of Bad Governors and Bad Science

Today's post is at the Stream: Vatican Environmental Conference: A Marriage of Bad Governors and Bad Science. The excerpt here keeps my caveman joke which was lost somewhere downstream. Jerry…
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  1. Pk on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025

    Suppose I wrote a program to perform multiple linear regressions of varying degrees and varying transformations. The program would return…

  2. NLR on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025

    One might wonder why, after billions of dollars spent building up infrastructure, paying workers to program and "train" (calibrate) this…

  3. Briggs on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025

    Michael, No, it's the code. The code says "Take this X and do this and such to it," where X…

  4. Michael 2 on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025

    The Large Language Models (LLM, ChatGPT kind of thing) use code to process training data. The output is NOT determined…

  5. Hagfish Bagpipe on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    HagFISH. Sheesh

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