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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: That God Is One I

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Hotting up…
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Posted inCulture

This Partly Explains Why Education Is Such A Mess

I am away from the computer today. Alternate title, A Few Moments With The Teacher's College (Columbia) Record. Many educators are told what to think at this institution before they…
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Posted inStatistics

How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update

Read Part I Part II What we're after is a score that calculates how close a prediction is to its eventual observation when the prediction is a probability. Now there…
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Posted inStatistics

Pascal’s Pensées, A Tour: V

Since our walk through Summa Contra Gentiles is going so well, why not let's do the same with Pascal's sketchbook on what we can now call Thinking Thursdays. We'll use…
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Posted inCulture

What Might Pope Francis’s Upcoming Encyclical Look Like?

For the love of money is the root of all evil: which while some coveted after, they have erred from the faith, and pierced themselves through with many sorrows. So…
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Posted inStatistics

How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part I

Part I of III All probability (which is to say, statistical) models have a predictive sense; indeed, they are only really useful in that sense. We don't need models to…
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Posted inStatistics

Temperature Grids, Interpolation, And Over-Certainty

A reader writes: I am a fairly new reader of your blog, coming from WattsUpWithThat and reading with delight and frustration your thoughts on statistics and climate. I have a…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Goodness Of God

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We've had…
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  1. John W. Garrett on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    Yikes. Maybe the Rockefellers, the Hewletts, the Packards, Jeremy Grantham, Eric & Wendy Schmidt, the Waltons, Leo DiCaprio, Mike Bloomberg…

  2. cdquarles on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    There was a wise politician who warned us about the government-media-academia complex over 60 years ago. That's right, the other…

  3. McChuck on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    Remember, kids, a scientist is nothing more than an academic with a lab coat. Academics are people who have been…

  4. NLR on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    Certainly, the science-industrial-government-university complex is corrupt. The criticism of it is all warranted. But even worse than expensive and frivolous…

  5. Briggs on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 16, 2025

    Paul, You're right. It sucked. I'm redoing. JH, Very well. Construct for us a model that does not do what…

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