June 28, 2019 – William M. Briggs

The Doomsday Argument Is Doomed: Flawed Application Of Bayes

The WSJ on 27 June 2019 published an essay by William Poundstone on the hoary Doomsday Argument. Many are fooled by this equation, which contains a fundamental, even glaring, flaw.…

Briggs on Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?October 1, 2026
All, Thanks for the kind words and inspiration, everybody. It means a lot to me.
Uncle Mike on Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?October 1, 2026
Megafires can, and sometimes do, start with a single spark. Don't underestimate the power of Truth. Therefore, (continue to) wield…
Tars Tarkas on Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?October 1, 2026
Well I for one appreciate your work. Thank you for all the time you put into this.
Brian (bulaoren) on Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?October 1, 2026
Why does anyone put a message in a bottle, and toss it into the sea?
Rara Avis on Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?October 1, 2026
I asked myself the same question as your viewer, Bill, when trying to engage online readers about the logical (and…