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Posted inStatistics

How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty

Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
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Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake
Posted inClass Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…
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The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Posted inStatistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
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Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Posted inStatistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
Read More
Posted inStatistics

Over-Certainty Is One Of The Main Causes Of Bad Science: Brain Volume & IQ Example

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Don't miss…
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People Enjoy The Expertocracy Filling The Gaps Left By Christianity’s Exit
Posted inCulture

People Enjoy The Expertocracy Filling The Gaps Left By Christianity’s Exit

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the Year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Regular readers…
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Belief In “Spiritual Entities” Falls
Posted inCulture

Belief In “Spiritual Entities” Falls

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Here's a…
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National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)
Posted inPodcast Statistics

National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Last week…
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  1. Jim Fedako on In Which An Atheist Becomes Sputteringly Angry Over Theist’s ArgumentNovember 11, 2025

    Some may say he hypostatizes science. I say the opposite. Though I speak at length with science, it has never…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on In Which An Atheist Becomes Sputteringly Angry Over Theist’s ArgumentNovember 11, 2025

    I promise to believe in God when I see God. I don't think I deserve eternal burning agony for that.…

  3. Uncle Mike on In Which An Atheist Becomes Sputteringly Angry Over Theist’s ArgumentNovember 11, 2025

    I've long favored the "What you see is what you get" argument. Because the more we look what we see…

  4. Leonard on In Which An Atheist Becomes Sputteringly Angry Over Theist’s ArgumentNovember 11, 2025

    But who in their right mind turns to The Atlantic for scientific discussion??

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    Nuking seems like such an architectural waste. Would it be possible to just quickly and cleanly eliminate university-infesting life forms,…

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