2023 – Page 14 – William M. Briggs

How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty

Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…

Class Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…

Statistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…

Statistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…

Statistics

Over-Certainty Is One Of The Main Causes Of Bad Science: Brain Volume & IQ Example

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Don't miss…

Culture

People Enjoy The Expertocracy Filling The Gaps Left By Christianity’s Exit

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the Year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Regular readers…

Culture

Belief In “Spiritual Entities” Falls

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Here's a…

Podcast Statistics

National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Last week…

hudbwu on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 25, 2026
P.S. And don't for a moment think we've escaped from the crutches of oblivion that ate all those books! A…
hudbwu on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 25, 2026
Here's a video that talks about all the books you will never, ever read. Watch and weep. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fcb2oLSb7Cs
Johnno on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026
Not only must we Follow THE SCIENCE (tm), but we must LIKE and hit the Notification Bell to be updated…
Johnno on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 24, 2026
NLR - My favorite pet peeve are restaurants where there are no printed menus, just QR codes to the menu…
Johnno on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 24, 2026
The plan is for an EMP to destroy everything and leave a convenient gap in the years between 2000 and…