2023 – Page 14 – William M. Briggs

How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty

Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…

Class Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…

Statistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…

Statistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…

Statistics

Over-Certainty Is One Of The Main Causes Of Bad Science: Brain Volume & IQ Example

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Don't miss…

Culture

People Enjoy The Expertocracy Filling The Gaps Left By Christianity’s Exit

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the Year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Regular readers…

Culture

Belief In “Spiritual Entities” Falls

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Here's a…

Podcast Statistics

National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Last week…

gareth on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldAugust 3, 2025
@ NLR Your presumption and guessing are assumptions. Shirley it was more to do with Shaken or Stirred, as with…
gareth on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldAugust 3, 2025
@ Gespenst Still doesn't account for any feedback given during the tea presentations, overt or accidental or subliminal. Anyway Briggs,…
terry-oldberg on The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)August 1, 2025
Dear Briggs iBefore proceeding with your book, i recommend that you read the book entitled 'Foundations of Inductive Reading' the…
Terry oldberg on The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)August 1, 2025
DEAR BRIGGS; YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE FACT THAT tHE PRINCIPLES OF REASONING ARE 'ENTROPY MINIMAX,' AS DESCRIBED BY…
JH on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionAugust 1, 2025
But... all human expressions about God are generally made under the premise of "if I were God." lol