2023 – Page 14 – William M. Briggs

How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty

Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…

Class Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…

Statistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…

Statistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…

Statistics

Over-Certainty Is One Of The Main Causes Of Bad Science: Brain Volume & IQ Example

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Don't miss…

Culture

People Enjoy The Expertocracy Filling The Gaps Left By Christianity’s Exit

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the Year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Regular readers…

Culture

Belief In “Spiritual Entities” Falls

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Here's a…

Podcast Statistics

National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Last week…

Hun on Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living ForeverOctober 16, 2025
Everything weird they say about China and Russia has been true about the West for decades. Most of the time,…
Eyrie on Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living ForeverOctober 15, 2025
Old SF novel by Norman Spinrad "Bug Jack Barron". Once castigated in the Brit House of Lords, so worth reading.
KGB on Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living ForeverOctober 15, 2025
My Taiwanese wife has been obsessing over this case for the past couple weeks. Whether she was explaining it in…
Brian (bulaoren) on Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living ForeverOctober 15, 2025
My sincerest apologies for misspelling a name in my previous post. I was, of course, referring to "Ayesha" from the…
Brian (bulaoren) on Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living ForeverOctober 15, 2025
Yes, Putin and Xi are, at age 72, getting a bit haggard. Speaking of Haggard; his character Aisha (the must…