2023 – Page 14 – William M. Briggs

How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty

Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…

Class Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…

Statistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…

Statistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…

Statistics

Over-Certainty Is One Of The Main Causes Of Bad Science: Brain Volume & IQ Example

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Don't miss…

Culture

People Enjoy The Expertocracy Filling The Gaps Left By Christianity’s Exit

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the Year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Regular readers…

Culture

Belief In “Spiritual Entities” Falls

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Here's a…

Podcast Statistics

National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Last week…

Barry Grant on Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses ChallengesSeptember 26, 2026
I don't know if this is a good use of p-values, but it is definitely a use, one that seems…
John Pate on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026
Until we get back to burning heretics at the stake I don't see any solution to this kind of behaviour.
John Pate on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 24, 2026
Private companies still run enormous R&D labs but they're funded by black budget "defence" appropriations doing the Devil's work. They…
Cary Cotterman on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026
Brosch and his ilk don't know squat about "scientific facts". They deal in pseudoscientific nonsense.
McChuck on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026
I refuse, on general principles, to use the Left's Newspeak. She is a whore, or prostitute if we're being polite.…