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Probability Doesn’t Exist: Nothing Has A Probability
Posted inStatistics

Probability Doesn’t Exist: Nothing Has A Probability

I hope you'll forgive this minor repetition, my friends. But since the world has not yet converted to the truth, shouted by de Finetti and handful of others, that probability…
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Dickman Cries “Rape!”: On The Bizarre New Rape-Pregnancy Paper
Posted inStatistics

Dickman Cries “Rape!”: On The Bizarre New Rape-Pregnancy Paper

You and I, dear reader, have looked at a lot of bad science over the years. Some science was bad because of the stank of woke, some because of fractured…
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The Border Happening & The Weakness Of The Regime
Posted inCulture

The Border Happening & The Weakness Of The Regime

Simple math: 5,000 x 365 = 1,825,000. Check me. Is it right? That 5,000 is the number of "migrants" the Regime Senate would allow in each day---each and every day…
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The Role of Dusty-Ice-Sheet Albedo in Ice-Age Temperature Regulation — Guest Post by Jackie Edwards
Posted inStatistics

The Role of Dusty-Ice-Sheet Albedo in Ice-Age Temperature Regulation — Guest Post by Jackie Edwards

Yesterday we learned how poor climate models were because of their over-emphasis on man's influence. Today we have a guest post on one alternate cause. See what you think. The…
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Great News! The Climate Is Much Better Than Predicted. Now We Can Calm Down!
Posted inCulture Statistics

Great News! The Climate Is Much Better Than Predicted. Now We Can Calm Down!

I am, and you will be, too, absolutely delighted by a new paper by Roy Spencer: "Global Warming: Observations vs. Climate Models". This is a paper that will be celebrated…
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Combinatorial Explosion: Theory Is Worse Than You Thought
Posted inStatistics

Combinatorial Explosion: Theory Is Worse Than You Thought

A lot of kids have alphabet blocks. Twenty six wooden squares with the letters of the alphabet on them. One way to arrange them is just like in the song,…
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How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist

Lisping Rationalists When I read people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander it becomes clear to me how the French could have built a Temple of Reason during The Terror.…
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What Punishment Will We Get For This?
Posted inCulture

What Punishment Will We Get For This?

One of the strangest incidents recounted in the Bible, at least to my modern ears, is when Aaron, brother of Moses, made for the stubborn Israelites a new god to…
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  1. hudbwu on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJuly 1, 2025

    The wrinkle is in the (pseudo-)random number generator. In principle, the random number generator can be hijacked by a higher…

  2. hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025

    I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…

  3. hudbwu on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJuly 1, 2025

    > It is a characteristic of the breed—on average: we speak in generalities here—that in any argument women do not…

  4. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  5. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

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