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Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World
Posted inStatistics

Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World

Here's how the AP climate doom article starts: Experts are ignoring the worst possible climate change catastrophic scenarios, including collapse of society or the potential extinction of humans, however unlikely,…
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The CDC List Of Official Truths: Magnetic Vaccines Example
Posted inCulture

The CDC List Of Official Truths: Magnetic Vaccines Example

You will, I hope, forgive me if I remind you that if there is Official mis- or disinformation, then there must necessarily be Official Truths. And if there exist Official…
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Propaganda Masquerading As Climate Science
Posted inStatistics

Propaganda Masquerading As Climate Science

If you are ignorant in a field, such as I am in ancient Peruvian pottery, you must look to purported authorities to settle disputes that might arise or for guidance…
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Researchers: Living Under The Sin-Of-Pride Flag Produces Flashbacks To Noah’s Flood
Posted inStatistics

Researchers: Living Under The Sin-Of-Pride Flag Produces Flashbacks To Noah’s Flood

Read this The Science sentence with me and see if you enjoy it as much as I did: "Long before climate change, California’s Great Flood of 1862 stretched up to…
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How Bad Science Becomes The Science: Climate & Public Health Example
Posted inPodcast Statistics

How Bad Science Becomes The Science: Climate & Public Health Example

This post is also available as a podcast. My voice improves. We're working on putting these into a regular feed. Or watch at YouTube. In my not-yet-banned talk on the…
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Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Posted inStatistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
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The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
Posted inStatistics

The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd

The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
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Debunking Prebunking & Other Disinformation Scams
Posted inStatistics

Debunking Prebunking & Other Disinformation Scams

An article in Psychology Today, a deeply earnest and condemnatory article on disinformation and the brave efforts to "fight" it using "prebunking", contains the following sentence: "Every day around 9…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  3. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  5. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

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