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On Breaking Climate Records — And Not Panicking
Posted inStatistics

On Breaking Climate Records — And Not Panicking

Thucydides in The Peloponnesian War speaks of Athenian prisoners dying from "variation in the temperature" in the conditions they were kept. Athens itself suffered deadly droughts at least in the…
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Climate Change & Gun Violence Research — A Mini-Play In One Act
Posted inCulture

Climate Change & Gun Violence Research — A Mini-Play In One Act

SCENE: A PRESTIGIOUS UNIVERSITY DRAMATIS PERSONAE: TWO AGING PRESTIGIOUS ACADEMICS "Hey, dude, we're, like scientists. Maybe we should, like, do some research." "Yeah, man. Do research." "Do research. We definitely…
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There Are No Such Things As 100-Year Floods: Global Warming Isn’t Making Floods Worse
Posted inStatistics

There Are No Such Things As 100-Year Floods: Global Warming Isn’t Making Floods Worse

Reader Chuck Lampert writes: Hi Briggs! I got into a kerfluffle with some Climate Apocalypse true believers who said the frequency of 1/50, 1/100, 1/500, and 1/1000 yr floods is…
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In Which We Answer The Pressing Question: Is Science Growing Stupider?
Posted inStatistics

In Which We Answer The Pressing Question: Is Science Growing Stupider?

I was asked this question the other day: "Is science becoming stupider?" I was forced to answer this way: "Boy, howdy! Science will be lucky to reach stupid the end…
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Why You Don’t Have To Worry About Climate Change: Multiplication Of Uncertainties
Posted inStatistics

Why You Don’t Have To Worry About Climate Change: Multiplication Of Uncertainties

I once did a talk on this subject at Spain's Royal Institute of Science during the first global warming panic, but I did a lousy job. Now, at the time…
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Update: Joe Rogan Flap Proves That If There Is Dis- and Misinformation, There Must Be A Ministry Of Truth
Posted inCulture

Update: Joe Rogan Flap Proves That If There Is Dis- and Misinformation, There Must Be A Ministry Of Truth

Update Don't miss update below, which confirms everything in this post. Let's today emphasize the rather obvious point that if there is such a thing as official disinformation and misinformation,…
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Coronadoom Misinformation Model Says What It Was Told To Say
Posted inStatistics

Coronadoom Misinformation Model Says What It Was Told To Say

Repeat after me (yes, this includes all you regulars, too): All models only say what they are told to say. Thank you. Now let's see this headline: "COVID-19 misinformation cost…
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Science Says Global Warming To Cause More Heart Attacks At Night, But Only For Crazy Men 60-64.
Posted inStatistics

Science Says Global Warming To Cause More Heart Attacks At Night, But Only For Crazy Men 60-64.

With the waning of the coronadoom panic, and our elites unable to juice sufficient consternation over Russia, they will have to turn to other objects to monger their fear. Global…
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  1. Johnno on World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!August 30, 2025

    Well as NLR said, and others have echoed, whenever disaster ultimately comes, it comes to the most advanced places, namely…

  2. Briggs on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    Willis, The same one you used in setting up the problem. After "millions of throws" (where the manner of the…

  3. Williis Eschenbach on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    As always, William, good stuff. Say that I have a pair of dice. I suspect that they are loaded to…

  4. McChuck on The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. SchantzAugust 28, 2025

    Briggs & Schantz - With a name like that, you two should go into business making small engines. But seriously,…

  5. Wm Arthurs on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    Throwaway comments made by people who are confused about this sort of thing, gave me a clue to one of…

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