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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy

Statistics’ dirtiest secret

The old saying that "You can prove anything using statistics" isn't true. It is a lie, and a damned lie, at that. It is an ugly, vicious, scurrilous distortion, undoubtedly…
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Posted inStatistics

Do not calculate correlations after smoothing data

This subject comes up so often and in so many places, and so many people ask me about it, that I thought a short explanation would be appropriate. You may…
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Posted inStatistics

How to look at the RSS satellite-derived temperature data

It's already well known that the Remote Sensing Systems satellite-derived temperature data has released the January figures: the finding is that it's colder this January than it has been for…
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Posted inPhilosophy

What can we learn about global warming from poor reporting?

From today's Syndney Morning Herald comes the headline: "Global warming to impact health". First, by impact the reporter almost certainly means influence, a more accurate, but far less energetic and…
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Posted inStatistics

Hurricanes have not increased: misuse of running means

Most statistics purporting to show that there has been an increase in hurricanes do not use the best statistical methods. I want to highlight one particular method that is often…
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    Here they have no authority: none whatsoever. Is this an appeal to authority used in reverse? It seems that Dr.…

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