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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy

Statistics’ dirtiest secret

The old saying that "You can prove anything using statistics" isn't true. It is a lie, and a damned lie, at that. It is an ugly, vicious, scurrilous distortion, undoubtedly…
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Posted inStatistics

Do not calculate correlations after smoothing data

This subject comes up so often and in so many places, and so many people ask me about it, that I thought a short explanation would be appropriate. You may…
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Posted inStatistics

How to look at the RSS satellite-derived temperature data

It's already well known that the Remote Sensing Systems satellite-derived temperature data has released the January figures: the finding is that it's colder this January than it has been for…
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Posted inPhilosophy

What can we learn about global warming from poor reporting?

From today's Syndney Morning Herald comes the headline: "Global warming to impact health". First, by impact the reporter almost certainly means influence, a more accurate, but far less energetic and…
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Posted inStatistics

Hurricanes have not increased: misuse of running means

Most statistics purporting to show that there has been an increase in hurricanes do not use the best statistical methods. I want to highlight one particular method that is often…
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  1. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  2. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  3. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  4. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  5. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

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