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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

The Pournelle vs. Nolan Chart: Political Throwdown

Before Jerry Pournelle began writing science fiction; before, that is, he teamed with Larry Niven to write the classic Lucifer's Hammer1, he was a political scientist. Pournelle was dissatisfied with…
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Posted inStatistics

Russia Subtracted Most People; India Added Most.

It's Friday and time for something light. In 2006, Russia lost 732,000 people. Don't bother searching for them, because most of them were never born. Its neighbor Ukraine also misplaced…
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Posted inCulture

Obamacare Predictions: Part II

Read Part I. I'll be away from the computer a large portion of today and will be slow in answering comments. Your health care will degrade Since the deficit will…
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Posted inFun

Guest Post by Paul “Population Bomb” Ehrlich: Fight the Climate Skeptic Conspiracy!

This is satire.1 Hi, I'm scientist Paul Ehrlich. You might remember me from such failed predictions as "Everybody's Going to Die by 1984!" and "Tin to Become More Precious than…
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Posted inBook review

Liberal Fascism by Jonah Goldberg, Part III

Read Part I, Part II. Buy the book. Last time, President Wilson had just shown the country his vision of the future. And what a vision it was! Full of…
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Posted inBook review

Liberal Fascism by Jonah Goldberg, Part II

Read Part I, Read Part III. When we left off last time, Goldberg's book was just beginning. Here's what happened in the States. Progressives in America approved heartily of Europe…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Malthus Was Wrong, But Not Why You Think

It's hard to think of a historical writer more misunderstood than Thomas Malthus. A week doesn't go by without somebody dropping his name, but only to show how wrong he…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Tim Tebow’s Super Bowl Ad and the Washington Post Editorial

Very delicate ground, here. I want to be as precise as I know how in discussing the language used in today's Washington Post editorial about the upcoming Tim Tebow ad,…
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  1. hudbwu on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 20, 2026

    We they're certainly re-inventing. Promises kept, I guess. Also, I can't escape thinking this is what the mice and rats…

  2. hudbwu on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 20, 2026

    ObvIOusLy, the correct formula for the triangles at the start is (upper_left + upper_right) * upper_left , which gives us…

  3. Andras Kuthi on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 19, 2026

    Contemplate that Epstein won the New Mexico lottery...so much for randomly generated numbers.

  4. Rich on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 18, 2026

    Perhaps she and her friends would accept being paid according to the indigenous mathematics of crows who can, apparently, count…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 17, 2026

    Lunatics like this Kather are well-paid and get great benefits for putting out hooey like that. People pay a lot…

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