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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

The Pournelle vs. Nolan Chart: Political Throwdown

Before Jerry Pournelle began writing science fiction; before, that is, he teamed with Larry Niven to write the classic Lucifer's Hammer1, he was a political scientist. Pournelle was dissatisfied with…
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Posted inStatistics

Russia Subtracted Most People; India Added Most.

It's Friday and time for something light. In 2006, Russia lost 732,000 people. Don't bother searching for them, because most of them were never born. Its neighbor Ukraine also misplaced…
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Posted inCulture

Obamacare Predictions: Part II

Read Part I. I'll be away from the computer a large portion of today and will be slow in answering comments. Your health care will degrade Since the deficit will…
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Posted inFun

Guest Post by Paul “Population Bomb” Ehrlich: Fight the Climate Skeptic Conspiracy!

This is satire.1 Hi, I'm scientist Paul Ehrlich. You might remember me from such failed predictions as "Everybody's Going to Die by 1984!" and "Tin to Become More Precious than…
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Posted inBook review

Liberal Fascism by Jonah Goldberg, Part III

Read Part I, Part II. Buy the book. Last time, President Wilson had just shown the country his vision of the future. And what a vision it was! Full of…
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Posted inBook review

Liberal Fascism by Jonah Goldberg, Part II

Read Part I, Read Part III. When we left off last time, Goldberg's book was just beginning. Here's what happened in the States. Progressives in America approved heartily of Europe…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Malthus Was Wrong, But Not Why You Think

It's hard to think of a historical writer more misunderstood than Thomas Malthus. A week doesn't go by without somebody dropping his name, but only to show how wrong he…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Tim Tebow’s Super Bowl Ad and the Washington Post Editorial

Very delicate ground, here. I want to be as precise as I know how in discussing the language used in today's Washington Post editorial about the upcoming Tim Tebow ad,…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 22, 2026

    Enough time has passed, since this post went up, for me to feel no need to stick to the topic.…

  2. David on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    I would also like to point out that slaves often had *better* medical care than their working-class white counterparts, being…

  3. Cary Cotterman on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Perhaps slave traders found low-intelligence blacks easier to capture, resulting in an intellectually challenged population of blacks in the U.S.…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Where do homicide rates fit in?

  5. McChuck on Is Moral Certainty Possible?August 20, 2026

    I am morally certain that murdering innocent children for fun and profit is evil. There. That was easy.

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