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“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”
Posted inStatistics

“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”

"Hey, Briggs. I saw your take on the leaked New Zealand vaccine data. Interesting. But why didn't you use [Insert My Favorite Statistics Model Here]?" [Blog, Substack mirror.] I'll tell…
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Class 1: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Teaser
Posted inClass

Class 1: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Teaser

See the end of this post for how the class might work and details about the video. Video Yes, the lighting is terrible. I give sallow a bad name. Links:…
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The So’s Yer Old Man Fallacy
Posted inPhilosophy

The So’s Yer Old Man Fallacy

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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Experts want to take uteruses out of women and put them into men
Posted inPhilosophy

Experts want to take uteruses out of women and put them into men

To read today's article, it is helpful to recall that in the context of biology and medicine the prefix trans can always be translated by not a or just not.…
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Why Bayes Is Not The Fix We Need: A Critique of Bayesian Inference and its Application
Posted inStatistics

Why Bayes Is Not The Fix We Need: A Critique of Bayesian Inference and its Application

I've pointed out many times some of the weaknesses of traditional statistical practices, and how the routine use of "hypothesis testing" leads to an ever-growing mountain of Broken Science. Some…
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Another Reason For Broken Science: Citation Indexes
Posted inStatistics

Another Reason For Broken Science: Citation Indexes

Suppose it turns out that something called prime matter is energy. Prime matter is the formless proto-matter that awaits a form to turn it into matter. Matter requires form to…
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Quelling Violence In Terror States! The Return Of Dickman
Posted inStatistics

Quelling Violence In Terror States! The Return Of Dickman

Here is the opening sentence in the Abstract of a paper in the NEJM, as hilariously false as you are like to see these days: "Violence against women receives little…
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How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?
Posted inStatistics

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Since this is typically the slowest week of the year---even Christmas is busier---this is a good time to introduce something strange. About twenty years ago I wrote a skeptical (do…
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  1. Robert on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 12, 2025

    Not only has AM radio declined, shortwave radio has too. Both were great as methods for receiving information using very…

  2. Neil Upton on Don’t Lose Sleep Over Research On “Climate Change” & Sleep ApneaJuly 10, 2025

    some time ago it was said that to ensure a research grant the proposal should make reference to global boiling.…

  3. Uncle Mike on Don’t Lose Sleep Over Research On “Climate Change” & Sleep ApneaJuly 9, 2025

    The Climate Catastrophe paradigm is dead. RIP. The old adherents are howling at the moon, but Science has moved on.…

  4. Cloudbuster on Don’t Lose Sleep Over Research On “Climate Change” & Sleep ApneaJuly 9, 2025

    "New York and Ohio, which are cool" Please explain to my sweat glands how Ohio is cool so I shouldn't…

  5. Cary Cotterman on What’s Wrong With The Golf Course Parkinson’s StudyJuly 8, 2025

    There is a significant correlation between golf and the wearing of ugly pants.

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