Posted inFun Statistics
How To Find True Love: The Marriage Problem
MEB + ARK, a.k.a. the Haystack Hunters, wrote the following: As fans of your work in real life probability and breaking the law of averages, we were hoping you could…
Posted inFun Statistics
Top 10 Sure Things: Which NFL Games Were The Easiest To Pick?
Today's post is over at Edgehogs. I wanted to see how extreme bookies would go in making NFL picks, as judged by the probabilities of home-team wins as derived from…
Posted inStatistics
Can fMRI Predict Who Believes In God? Part V
Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII Quick review: people's heads were stuck in an fMRI; inside, they read questions to which…
Posted inStatistics
Can fMRI Predict Who Believes In God? Part VI
Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII The description on the use of the fMRI (how it works, voltages, etc.) appears, to…
Posted inCulture Fun Statistics
Predictions For 2011. How’d We do?
Last January 1st I asked for everybody to provide verifiable predictions for the year. Time for reckoning! Tomorrow I'll ask us to provide predictions for 2012, so hold off on…
Posted inFun Statistics
Only 2 days left! Predictions For 2012: Submit Yours Today!
Update Predictions are closed for this year. Come back New Year's Eve to see how we've done. We'll change the rules slightly this year and ask that everybody now predict…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part III
This inescapable fact, that the conditioning evidence is only assumed and is therefore subjectively defined, is responsible for much acrimony about accuracy. Thus the reason we attempt to eliminate wiggle…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
On Probability Leakage
Submitted for your approval, yet another paper. On Probability Leakage, posted at Arxiv. Once you, my beloved readers, have had a go with it, I'll incorporate your comments in an…
