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Coronavirus Update XXXIII: The Effect Of HUGE Increases In Testing & False Positives On Continuing The Panic
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXXIII: The Effect Of HUGE Increases In Testing & False Positives On Continuing The Panic

The Godmother Want proof this is all now politics, pure politics? Here's the Godmother (misquoting his own law): https://twitter.com/NYGovCuomo/status/1310722984076865537 Here is the actual state of the coronadoom crisis in all…
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Coronavirus Update VII — We’ve Got Models (Update)
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update VII — We’ve Got Models (Update)

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, and…
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Coronavirus Update VI — Calm Yourselves
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update VI — Calm Yourselves

All the good stuff, caveats, code, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, and Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus,…
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The Price of Panic: How the Tyranny of Experts Turned a Pandemic into a Catastrophe — Coronavirus Update XXXV
Posted inStatistics

The Price of Panic: How the Tyranny of Experts Turned a Pandemic into a Catastrophe — Coronavirus Update XXXV

BECOME A SUPER-SPREADER! The book has finally arrived! Spread it far, and Spread it wide; Spread it till it hurts inside. Here's the PR: For the first time in history,…
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Coronavirus Update XXXII — Melbourne: The Guntowers Are There For Your Protection. UK’s Re-Panic, USA Deaths, More!
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXXII — Melbourne: The Guntowers Are There For Your Protection. UK’s Re-Panic, USA Deaths, More!

We have reached the point most authorities are pretending to forget the difference between infections, "cases", and deaths. Deaths have dropped to bottom levels, but because of huge increases in…
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Coronavirus Update XII — Who Has The Right Numbers?
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XII — Who Has The Right Numbers?

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Coronavirus Update VIII: Blown Forecasts & Peak Performance
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update VIII: Blown Forecasts & Peak Performance

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived

All the good stuff, caveats, code, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, and Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus, so go…
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  1. JH on Class 53: Laplace Was Right!June 6, 2025

    Since you used (8.7) at the beginning of the video, let me try again. A calculus fact: If f(N) approaches…

  2. When Chief Editors’ reviews go off the rails: Frontiers’/Dr. Eddy Davelaar’s criticism of our accepted meta-analysis and our detailed response – bobuttl.org on The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been VerifiedJune 5, 2025

    […] William M. Briggs (2024, Feb 8): The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been Verified… […]

  3. Milton Hathaway on Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering OutJune 4, 2025

    I seem to be missing something here. The "Average CD" chart shows a marked decline, while the "Total Papers" chart…

  4. Uncle Mike on Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering OutJune 4, 2025

    The problem, in a nutshell, is the trending longitudinal bibliometrics of stochastic heuristics. Vouchsafe the imperative and quotidian drivel perpetuates.

  5. Milton Hathaway on Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know BestJune 4, 2025

    There is a well-known phenomenon in my occupation (engineering), and, I assume, in many other occupations. By nature, engineers love…

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