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The If I Were God Fallacy & Evolution
Posted inStatistics

The If I Were God Fallacy & Evolution

The If I Were God Fallacy runs like this: If I were God, here is how the world would work;The world does not work like that;Therefore, God does not exist.…
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Solzhenitsyn, Communism, Miracles & The Imposing Your Beliefs Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Solzhenitsyn, Communism, Miracles & The Imposing Your Beliefs Fallacy

Words and phrases can drift over time, as you all know, sometimes coming to mean even the opposite of their original definition. Like awful, meaning first something worthy of awe,…
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Mathematics & The Imposing Your Beliefs Fallacy
Posted inCulture

Mathematics & The Imposing Your Beliefs Fallacy

I blush as I write the truism that it is possible, given obvious reasons, that anybody anywhere might discover or hit upon a mathematical truth. Any body. Even NPR listeners.…
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Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy

There are a lot of new readers, and many may not yet have heard of the epidemiologist fallacy. Few tools have been as productive at generating The Science. You know…
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Ad Hominem, My Sweet: The Fallacy That Usually Isn’t
Posted inPhilosophy

Ad Hominem, My Sweet: The Fallacy That Usually Isn’t

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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The So’s Yer Old Man Fallacy
Posted inPhilosophy

The So’s Yer Old Man Fallacy

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance
Posted inStatistics

Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance

Thanks to AS! I don't have your email, so I hope you see this. The epidemiologist fallacy occurs when a scientist announces, directly or implicitly, that X Causes Y, but…
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The I Have Ascended Beyond Fallacy
Posted inPhilosophy

The I Have Ascended Beyond Fallacy

There is a special kind of argument you hear only from academic Experts. Non-academic non-Experts never use it; or, if they do, I've not seen any example (beyond parroting AEs).…
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  1. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Can't agree with Briggs on this, I agree with Tesla; "Today's scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander…

  2. Briggs on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Willis, I have just about finished a brief answer to you (about 3,000 words), which because of the importance and…

  3. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Eschenbach you're becoming a caricature of modern scientism. I've explained to you why your Aunt Sally is bogus and the…

  4. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 16, 2025

    John, I asked a THEORETICAL question. Pointing out that there are real-world options is MEANINGLESS to my question. How about…

  5. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 16, 2025

    Eschenbach, card counting was arrived at by an empirically derived process. That's not the same as having bogus statistical theories…

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