Posted inStatistics
Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way
Be sure to review the RIGHT way from last week. Today, of the infinite number of ways to go sour, we look at one common way modeling goes awry. Video…
Posted inStatistics
Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way
If you cite, enjoy, or create "research" or "studies", this post is a must. I've eschewed all math (given next time in The Wrong Way) and focused entirely on the…
Posted inStatistics
In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No Value
Given Sabine's penchant for posting overly shocked thumbnails for her video splash-screens, I present this equivalent dramatic image. I like to tease Sabine Hossenfelder, especially when she chooses to inform…
Posted inStatistics
Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This
My last attempt to you convince you to think logically about evidence and reject P-values. Video https://youtu.be/Jj8MIUmzQzU Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble * Bitchute * Class Page…
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Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee
It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…
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On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It
I am not enough of a historian to say whether the Cult of the Victim forms in every dying civilization, but it sure has in ours. A Victim group is…
Posted inStatistics
Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says Academic
The title today is identical to the peer-reviewed paper of the same name in Theory and Society by BVE Hyde. Hyde begins: "This study begins by outlining the transparency paradox:…
Posted inStatistics
Class 58: Hypothesis Testing Is All Wrong
We want Pr(Hypothesis true|Evidence) but get Pr(Data we didn't see | Hypothesis false). This makes no sense, but I promise that is what is done. My friends, it gets real…