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Class 71: Never Trust ‘Research Shows’ Headlines: We Bring Cause To Data
Posted inStatistics

Class 71: Never Trust ‘Research Shows’ Headlines: We Bring Cause To Data

All uses of hypothesis testing are fallacies. The results could be true, or likely, but only accidentally. A proof based on the Resurrection and GPA. Bonus Song Anon sent in…
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Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer Papers
Posted inStatistics

Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer Papers

Time (sigh) for yet another example of the scrofulous, not to say ubiquitous, Epidemiologist Fallacy. This is peer-reviewed-paper generating technique of declaring X CAUSES Y, but where X is never…
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Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

Be sure to review the RIGHT way from last week. Today, of the infinite number of ways to go sour, we look at one common way modeling goes awry. Video…
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Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way

If you cite, enjoy, or create "research" or "studies", this post is a must. I've eschewed all math (given next time in The Wrong Way) and focused entirely on the…
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In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No Value
Posted inStatistics

In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No Value

Given Sabine's penchant for posting overly shocked thumbnails for her video splash-screens, I present this equivalent dramatic image. I like to tease Sabine Hossenfelder, especially when she chooses to inform…
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Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This
Posted inStatistics

Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This

My last attempt to you convince you to think logically about evidence and reject P-values. Video https://youtu.be/Jj8MIUmzQzU Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble * Bitchute * Class Page…
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Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee
Posted inStatistics

Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee

It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…
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On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It
Posted inStatistics

On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It

I am not enough of a historian to say whether the Cult of the Victim forms in every dying civilization, but it sure has in ours. A Victim group is…
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  1. Neil Jordan on Class 79: Time Series ExampleFebruary 20, 2026

    Does the passage of time cause ice, or does ice cause the passage of time? Mystical statistical court of appeals…

  2. Johnno on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 19, 2026

    But Briggs... we pay people to make decisions on our behalf... Government exists, and it MUST do SOMETHING!!! What are…

  3. Johnno on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 19, 2026

    BRIGGS YOU FOOL OF ARTIFICIALITY! Aye Eye exists for one reason and ONE REASON ONLY! To INCREASE Shareholder Value! If…

  4. JH on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 19, 2026

    Maybe you mean “knowledge” instead of “belief.” When my daughter was in ninth grade, I asked her about evidence for…

  5. gareth on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 19, 2026

    Yes "AI" is just computer models. Better - in the sense of more competent in tasks than before. This does…

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