There is that which is, and that which we can know about what is. Both feed the other. Probability belongs to the second subject. If you want to know what…

All uses of hypothesis testing are fallacies. The results could be true, or likely, but only accidentally. A proof based on the Resurrection and GPA. Bonus Song Anon sent in…

Time (sigh) for yet another example of the scrofulous, not to say ubiquitous, Epidemiologist Fallacy. This is peer-reviewed-paper generating technique of declaring X CAUSES Y, but where X is never…

Be sure to review the RIGHT way from last week. Today, of the infinite number of ways to go sour, we look at one common way modeling goes awry. Video…

If you cite, enjoy, or create "research" or "studies", this post is a must. I've eschewed all math (given next time in The Wrong Way) and focused entirely on the…

Given Sabine's penchant for posting overly shocked thumbnails for her video splash-screens, I present this equivalent dramatic image. I like to tease Sabine Hossenfelder, especially when she chooses to inform…

My last attempt to you convince you to think logically about evidence and reject P-values. Video https://youtu.be/Jj8MIUmzQzU Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble * Bitchute * Class Page…

It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…