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Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your Money
Posted inStatistics

Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your Money

Here is how the political magazine Nature opened its article "25 million deaths: what could happen if the US ends global health funding: Models estimate the ginormous potential impact of…
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Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested
Posted inStatistics

Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested

I flatter myself that this is the best general thing I have written to explain why you must never, not ever, use a p-value, hypothesis test, "significance", Bayes value, or…
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Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness
Posted inStatistics

Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness

WARNING! If you're attempting to read this via email and not on the site, you might encounter problems: the text might look like gibberish. The LaTeX interpreter, which I need…
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Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active
Posted inStatistics

Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active

One lesson I've worked hard at imparting is that scientists, being generally of slightly above average intelligence, and sometimes more, excel at finding evidence which supports their beliefs. But that…
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A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence
Posted inStatistics

A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence

In my forced isolation, which was in many ways a gift, I took to thinking of my failures to convince people not to use or trust standard statistical evidence. Here…
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The Limitations Of AI: General Or Real Intelligence Is Not Possible
Posted inStatistics

The Limitations Of AI: General Or Real Intelligence Is Not Possible

This is Part II of The Limitations Of AI. See Part I: Predictive Ability. Forgive me this banality, but reminders of the obvious can bring clarity: AI runs on computers.…
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Butter Bad, Seed Oils Good, Says New Study
Posted inStatistics

Butter Bad, Seed Oils Good, Says New Study

Today a paper which proves my contention that governments ought to get out of the grant-making business. The "study" was funded by NIH, and conducted by "top" scientists at Harvard.…
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On Scott Adams’s Vax-Decision Analysis
Posted inStatistics

On Scott Adams’s Vax-Decision Analysis

Dilbert's Scott Adams posted a video on his reasoning behind his decision whether to get vaxed during the covid panic. He concludes that no one is now in a position…
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  1. Cary Cotterman on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026

    Every day there's some paper or article claiming that something is good for you, followed the next day by some…

  2. spetzer86 on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026

    Always fun watching the lectures.

  3. JRob on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026

    The epidemiologist fallacies are always enjoyable. It seems that there is a rash of scientists now saying that previous scientists…

  4. Tars Tarkas on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026

    "The unsweetened kids were born late 1951 to 1954, while the sugar-available kids were born after rationing ending in July…

  5. McChuck on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026

    It's also not coincidental that the control group is, by the standards of the study, entirely younger than the test…

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