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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is And What We Know Of It, Probabilistically Speaking

Ontology is the study of what is and what is not. Epistemology is the study of our knowledge of what is and what is not. Though there are obvious points…
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Posted inStatistics

Twenty Tips For Interpreting Scientific Claims

Title of today's post is taken from article of the same name in Nature by William Sutherland, David Spiegelhalter, Mark Burgman. Several readers asked me to comment. I'll assume you've…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Observational Versus Controlled Trials

Received this email from a reader: I took on board all I read on your website, and it has created confusion in my mind. I have been reading Ioannidis and…
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Posted inStatistics

Johnson’s Revised Standards For Statistical Evidence

Thanks to the many readers who sent me Johnson's paper, which is here (pdf). Those who haven't will want to read "Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof", the material…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Obamacare Predictions: How’d We Do So Far?

One of life's real pleasures, though it lessens us to admit it, is when we get to say I told you so. Nobody in the world, except those who believe…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Boston Globe’s Failed Assassination Of Willie Soon

Christopher Rowland, the Washington Bureau Chief for the Boston Globe, is not a child molester. The Boston Globe has covered child molestation stories, suspiciously at times when Rowland was with…
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Posted inCulture

What Happens When Research Yields Unpopular Findings

After learning the gabbling Stephan Lewandowsky was able to complain in the Associate for Psychological Science's Observer magazine that some loon called him a self-contradictory bad name, I became curious…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Pascal & Barzun On Scientism

Blaise Pascal was a man smarter than I and smarter than thou. He was a scientist, mathematician, probabilist, and was deeply, deeply Catholic. Pascal as scientist warned against trusting science…
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