Posted inFun
The Day I Made The Front Page!
In case you can't see the fine print, it reads: FRESH PUDDLE ICE formed from the January rains collapsed under the weight of a car driven by Adam Kennedy, above…
Posted inPhilosophy
Pascal’s Pensées, A Tour: II
Since our walk through Summa Contra Gentiles is going so well, why not let's do the same with Pascal's sketchbook on what we can now call Thinking Thursdays. We'll use…
Posted inStatistics
On The Uselessness Of Lie Detector (And Medical) Screenings, And The Ames Spy Case
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xr8BUxVRwFY This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Have you seen the television series The Assets? Dramatization of the Sandy Grimes-Jeanne…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?
When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com's Senate prediction, it said "Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority." There were also words that the "probability that each party will win control…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
We Don’t Know Anything
The Appeal to Authority is not a formal fallacy, but an "informal" one, a fancy way of admitting that arguments in the form of "Because I said so" are often…
Posted inStatistics
Yet Another Author Claims Statistically Significant Temperature Change. 99.999%!
Update 6 Sep 2014 Yet another another another study has claimed "statistical significance", this one by Philip Kokica, Steven Crimpc, and Mark Howdend. "A probabilistic analysis of human influence on…
Posted inStatistics
Don’t Say “Natural Variability”
Word that the climate of doom we were promised (repeatedly) has not obtained has begun leaking out. Climatologists have known this for quite some time, but now even environmental activists…
Posted inStatistics
Global Warming Creating Anxious Fish
Fish the world over are rubbing their fins together and fretting over news of climate change. One day they are told earnestly that the world's oceans are going to boil…
