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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Frequenstism Is Entirely Ad Hoc; And So Are Priors. Use The Third Way Instead

https://twitter.com/learnfromerror/status/638841417461276672 Short note today, because today, and most days for the next couple of weeks, are book days. I am nearly finished with the damned thing. I'm now handling drudgery…
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Posted inCulture

A Prayer For The Earth: Answering The Pope’s Call. A One Act Mini-Play.

Father: "In the name of the Father, Son, and Holy Ghost." Penitent: "Bless me father, I have sinned. It's been about six months since my last confession." Father: "Go on..."…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Briggs Is Available To Speak. Update

You've seen the videos...You've read the papers...You know the blog...Now hire the man! For a limited time only---All men are mortal, Briggs is a man, etc.---W. M. Briggs is available…
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Posted inStatistics

Keeping It Simple: The Value Of An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model. New Paper

The rebuttal to the criticism of our original peer-reviewed climate model paper "Why models run hot" has been published in Science Bulletin. It is also peer-reviewed, and therefore it must…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability & Statistics Cannot Prove Cause

Correlation I was at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness conference in Ontario (LA) California and gave my paper The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause, which…
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Posted inCulture

Remnant: Archbishop Cupich Gives Up The Ghost

Today's post is at The Remnant: Archbishop Cupich Gives Up The Ghost: What do you think the Catholic Church, that great representation of Christ's body on earth, in Chicagoland is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update

All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know "the probability of X". Well, there is none: not ever. There…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Climatology Isn’t The Only Thing Killing Science

I received this interesting email from reader Mike Nash that I thought would be of interest to all. Nash saw my piece in the Federalist yesterday and commented. Sorry but…
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