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The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow
Posted inStatistics

The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow

Via Alexander Bogomolny: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…
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Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I haven’t written for a year. Since Donald won his third term. The reason is because I wanted to see if he learned any lessons. Therefore, I had to watch…
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Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong Way

Do not conduct or trust any regression, or any probability model, before you understand what "control" means and does NOT mean. NO CLASS NEXT WEEK. Video https://youtu.be/_ON42EEGrb4 Links: YouTube *…
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Class 71: Never Trust ‘Research Shows’ Headlines: We Bring Cause To Data
Posted inStatistics

Class 71: Never Trust ‘Research Shows’ Headlines: We Bring Cause To Data

All uses of hypothesis testing are fallacies. The results could be true, or likely, but only accidentally. A proof based on the Resurrection and GPA. Bonus Song Anon sent in…
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Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way

Claims of control are almost always false or misleading. "Controlling for" sex or age or anything in probability models is not true control. It's just adding things to models. Vast…
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Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”
Posted inStatistics

Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”

A common scurrilous sophomoric ridiculous false charge leveled against those of a religious bent, and made by internet atheists, is that the religious hold their beliefs "Based on no evidence."…
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Big Things Are Happening With Celebrities, The Pope & “Climate Change”!
Posted inStatistics

Big Things Are Happening With Celebrities, The Pope & “Climate Change”!

Celebrities are, as you know and swear to, our leaders. Which makes it strange I could not find any investors for my What Does Your Favorite Celebrity Think About Hot…
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In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No Value
Posted inStatistics

In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No Value

Given Sabine's penchant for posting overly shocked thumbnails for her video splash-screens, I present this equivalent dramatic image. I like to tease Sabine Hossenfelder, especially when she chooses to inform…
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  1. Neil Jordan on Class 79: Time Series ExampleFebruary 20, 2026

    Does the passage of time cause ice, or does ice cause the passage of time? Mystical statistical court of appeals…

  2. Johnno on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 19, 2026

    But Briggs... we pay people to make decisions on our behalf... Government exists, and it MUST do SOMETHING!!! What are…

  3. Johnno on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 19, 2026

    BRIGGS YOU FOOL OF ARTIFICIALITY! Aye Eye exists for one reason and ONE REASON ONLY! To INCREASE Shareholder Value! If…

  4. JH on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 19, 2026

    Maybe you mean “knowledge” instead of “belief.” When my daughter was in ninth grade, I asked her about evidence for…

  5. gareth on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 19, 2026

    Yes "AI" is just computer models. Better - in the sense of more competent in tasks than before. This does…

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