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Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
Posted inStatistics

Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves

There is a claim, said to be made by a prominent "neocon" in the Trump administration, that "Tucker Carlson and Nick Fuentes have both been named as possible domestic terrorists".…
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Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
Posted inStatistics

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

There is no Class this week, due to events. Here are the first 100 numbers in a series I constructed: 0.3987654 ,0.9560464 ,0.1675681 ,0.5562341 ,0.9843035 ,0.06160958 ,0.2305416 ,0.7073786 ,0.8254209 ,0.5746259…
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It’s The End Of The World Again
Posted inStatistics

It’s The End Of The World Again

It's only a matter of time. This world had a beginning, and all created things have beginnings and ends. Thus, this world will have an end. I want to stress…
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The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
Posted inStatistics

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

I can't recommend the debate---surely too strong a word; let's instead say the sit-down---between Ross Douthat, a New York Times employee, and Stephen Pinker, an academic, except for one thing.…
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The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
Posted inStatistics

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

Bad news, friends. Some people---none of you, I am sure---pass off AI as if it were their own work. There is a certain profession, which I'll won't reveal except to…
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Class 79: Time Series Example
Posted inStatistics

Class 79: Time Series Example

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
Posted inStatistics

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

The hersterical (there is no misspelling) headline: "Polar bears are 'rewriting their DNA' to survive warming Arctic, study suggests" (one of many who "reported" on this). I suppose it's good…
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  1. John Pate on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    Never mind P values, follow the money.

  2. EricKayScifi on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    @Cary, actually I heard the P values were actually really good in that study, but then the scientist couldn't believe…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    I just read an article that claimed ice cream is healthy food. I love ice cream, but for the last…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    Sometimes the "P" is silent, as in "swimming pool".

  5. EricKayScifi on Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!June 30, 2026

    There's also a complete lack of understanding that 'synthetic' data IS NOT actual data. Nor is 'extrapolating and modelling' real…

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