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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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That “1-in-27 Million Chance That Earth’s Record Hot Streak Is Natural” Is Preposterous
Posted inStatistics

That “1-in-27 Million Chance That Earth’s Record Hot Streak Is Natural” Is Preposterous

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. We met a lot of bad statistics over the years, but this one wins…
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Posted inStatistics

First Annual WMBriggs.com Bad Science Award!

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Announcement In the proud and rarely abused tradition of Honoring Important People, we present…
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Posted inStatistics

Naomi Oreskes Plays Dumb On Statistics And Climate Change

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Remember how I said, again and again---and again---that everybody gets statistics wrong? Here's proof…
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Posted inStatistics

Real Climate Temperature “Trend” Article Gets It Wrong (Like So Many Do)

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Everything that can go wrong with a time series analysis has gone wrong with…
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Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2014 Predictions?

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Time to tally. As has become our tradition, each New Year's Eve we see…
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Posted inCulture

Pope Francis And Out-Of-Control Deadly Eschatological Global Warming

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. The press, fond as they are of reporting wild speculation as actual news, has…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: That God Is Good

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. This post is one…
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Posted inFun

Manly Things, Northern Michigan Edition

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. My number one son sent me the video above (linked here). Can you imagine…
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  1. John M on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 12, 2026

    1. Substack stops copying social media on their homepage and when they realize Substack is for people who want to…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    It's even worse; "Handicap" is now a forbidden term.

  3. hudbwu on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    Next time, Twitch livestream writing a computer program to make that bell-shaped graph. I'm sure there's a few people that…

  4. NLR on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    The sports betting companies encourage people to risk money. It's fun, "everybody" is doing it, it's legal, you might be…

  5. Robert Arvanitis on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    Of course the arithmetic is correct. And as with drugs, drinks and sex, gambling is potentially addictive. ON THE other…

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