Posted inCulture
Obamacare Predictions: Part II
Read Part I. I'll be away from the computer a large portion of today and will be slow in answering comments. Your health care will degrade Since the deficit will…
Posted inStatistics
Obamacare Predictions: Part I
Here are some things I think will happen if Obamacare is passed. When I say "you" or "your", I mean "people on average." Obviously, some people will benefit. This is…
Posted inStatistics
Randomized Trials Are Not Needed
I promised this article a long time ago: I hope these well known calculations are enough to give the gist. Randomized controlled trials are supposed to be the gold standard…
Posted inBook review
Alone and Frames by Loren D. Estleman
Alone Frames The first two in the Valentino Hollywood Mystery Series by Loren D. Estleman Recommendation: read. Estleman is best known for his hard-boiled Amos Walker detective series, all set…
Posted inStatistics
On the Morality of Global Warming Criticism
Paul Krugman, a columnist for the New York Times and winner of a prestigious banking prize (usually mistakenly called a "Nobel"), has said that those who criticize theories of global…
Posted inStatistics
Seasonal Climate Forecasts Do Not Have Skill
David Lavers is the lead author in a GRL paper "A multiple model assessment of seasonal climate forecast skill for applications." Lavers et al. checked eight different climate models and…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Malthus Was Wrong, But Not Why You Think
It's hard to think of a historical writer more misunderstood than Thomas Malthus. A week doesn't go by without somebody dropping his name, but only to show how wrong he…
Posted inStatistics
Why Global Warming Won’t Go Away: Inertia
Rajendra Pachauri---chairman of the IPCC, railway engineer, and the man who penned these words, "Sanjay saw a shapely dark-skinned girl lying on Vinay's bed. He was overcome by a lust…