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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

My Answers to Willis Eschenbach’s 14 + 2 Questions

Repost Mr Eschenbach had not had the chance to respond to this article before the two weeks wherein comments are automatically closed have elapsed. This re-post will allow him, and…
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Posted inCulture

Goldman Sachs, Bubbles, Global Warming, and Statistics

Matt Taibbi's article on Goldman Sachs, "The Great American Bubble Machine" is up and should be read (you'll have already seen it if you homepage, as you should, Arts &…
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Posted inStatistics

Calculating the Uncertainty of Economic and Other Forecasts

I was asked to talk about how to handle uncertainty in forecasts. Below is a rough sketch. Many of you run or work with models that produce forecasts, guesses of…
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Posted inCulture

Dawkins & Hitchens to be Arrested for Crimes Against Intelligence

Comedian Richard Dawkins and seasoned troublemaker Christopher Hitchens plan to put a headlock on Pope Benedict when he steps onto English soil. "Stop!" they plan to yell, "We arrest thee…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Hot News Saturday: Worst Science Fiction, Sheffield Devolves, Sainted Liberals

Great News! Buck Alice and the Actor Robot will soon appear as a radio drama. This is not to be missed! The Colonial Radio Theater will produce Walter Koenig's---Chekov, from…
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Posted inStatistics

Short New York Real Estate Because of Global Warming?

Stevey Cohen, head of the Earth Institute at Columbia University, wants you to short New York City real estate. He doesn't actually say that---Stevey isn't a broker and his statements…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Top 10 Manly Jobs: Popular Mechanics’ Cool Gigs List

Popular Mechanics published a list of four dozen or so "Coolest Gigs on Earth." They ought to have said "manliest." This isn't The Atlantic or Time. This is Popular Mechanics!…
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Posted inStatistics

Democrats’ Appalling Budget Wishcast

Update No extra charge for today's initially misspelled headline. It is a logical fallacy to say that it OK for John to lie, cheat and steal because Mary lied, cheated…
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