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William M. Briggs

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Posted inBook review

Alone and Frames by Loren D. Estleman

Alone Frames The first two in the Valentino Hollywood Mystery Series by Loren D. Estleman Recommendation: read. Estleman is best known for his hard-boiled Amos Walker detective series, all set…
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Posted inStatistics

On the Morality of Global Warming Criticism

Paul Krugman, a columnist for the New York Times and winner of a prestigious banking prize (usually mistakenly called a "Nobel"), has said that those who criticize theories of global…
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Posted inStatistics

Seasonal Climate Forecasts Do Not Have Skill

David Lavers is the lead author in a GRL paper "A multiple model assessment of seasonal climate forecast skill for applications." Lavers et al. checked eight different climate models and…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Malthus Was Wrong, But Not Why You Think

It's hard to think of a historical writer more misunderstood than Thomas Malthus. A week doesn't go by without somebody dropping his name, but only to show how wrong he…
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Posted inStatistics

Why Global Warming Won’t Go Away: Inertia

Rajendra Pachauri---chairman of the IPCC, railway engineer, and the man who penned these words, "Sanjay saw a shapely dark-skinned girl lying on Vinay's bed. He was overcome by a lust…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Welcome-to-Saturday Links

My heart soared like a hawk this week after several readers sent in fascinating stories. Here are a few of them. Reader Sara C sent in a wonderful example of…
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Posted inStatistics

What Do Barney Miller and IPCC chief Rajendra Pachauri Have In Common?

In 1977, on the Barney Miller episode "Blizzard"---for those under 40: a cop sitcom---a man who was poking people with a sharp stick was arrested. The man wanted to bring…
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Posted inCulture

Proof That There Are Too Many Lawyers?

Most lawyers are like the opportunistic infections that attack the weakened immune system of heroin addicts. You can scrape off the scabs that encrust the skin, but if you don't…
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  1. John Pate on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    Never mind P values, follow the money.

  2. EricKayScifi on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    @Cary, actually I heard the P values were actually really good in that study, but then the scientist couldn't believe…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    I just read an article that claimed ice cream is healthy food. I love ice cream, but for the last…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    Sometimes the "P" is silent, as in "swimming pool".

  5. EricKayScifi on Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!June 30, 2026

    There's also a complete lack of understanding that 'synthetic' data IS NOT actual data. Nor is 'extrapolating and modelling' real…

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