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That “1-in-27 Million Chance That Earth’s Record Hot Streak Is Natural” Is Preposterous
Posted inStatistics

That “1-in-27 Million Chance That Earth’s Record Hot Streak Is Natural” Is Preposterous

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. We met a lot of bad statistics over the years, but this one wins…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update

All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know "the probability of X". Well, there is none: not ever. There…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Discrimination Is Everywhere!

A seventy-year-old man auditions to play the lead in Model Detective, a film about a Victoria's Secret swimsuit model who solves beach crime, and he is turned down because he…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Crisis: Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm (And Temperature Fiddling)

Today's post is at Crisis. The title the editor John Vella wrote is AUs---parsecs, even---above mine. His: "Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm". Mine? "The Church Burns To Jump Into…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Reporting On So-Called Climate Reporters: Update 4

Update Be sure to come back on Sunday and see my wrap-up column. The first section of this article contains background on the subject which should be read, the second…
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Posted inCulture

Think Global Warming’s Bad? Wait’ll You Meet Sustainability

Today's post is at Breitbart, under the modified title "Think Global Warming Is Bad? Wait Until You Meet Sustainability". This went up Saturday as the lead article, but we were…
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Climate Paper Causes Chaos, Angst, Anger, Apoplexy! (Hacking)
Posted inStatistics

Climate Paper Causes Chaos, Angst, Anger, Apoplexy! (Hacking)

Last Wednesday, the Daily Mail told the world of the peer-reviwed paper Lord Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I wrote entitled "Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly…
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Posted inStatistics

Do Sunspots Shorten Lives By 5.2 years?

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. I have no idea what the answer to that question is. And I doubt…
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  1. gareth on Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? IIAugust 16, 2025

    Errr... Calculating the probability of what we did see should be = 100% So why calculate it? (Enquiring minds, etc.)

  2. Johnno on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 14, 2025

    Briggs you fool... what you so outdatingly call cheating, I prefer to see as a more progressive healthy open relationship…

  3. hudbwu on Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says AcademicAugust 14, 2025

    To be fair, the center of this article (that I looked at from the link provided) is a reduction-to-absurd argument…

  4. hudbwu on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 14, 2025

    I love how the scale in the last graph is *LoGaRithMic_!

  5. hudbwu on Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating MeatAugust 14, 2025

    Do you remember the time when craving loonies posted these things not in peer-reviewed journals, but on Internet fora? Man,…

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