Search Results for “model” – Page 34

We’re Almost Always Right; They’re Almost Always Wrong; Yet They’re Always Believed — Coronadoom Update CXI

I PAT MY BACK Before we begin our main update, allow me to congratulate myself. https://twitter.com/MichaelPSenger/status/1472385507099246592 A screenshot of the picture, in case it disappears, is here. I have said…

Statistics

What The Sports Illustrated Curse Says About The Reproducibility Crisis

The so-called Sports Illustrated curse is easy to understand. A player or team excels, which is to say it does much better than they usually do, the exceptional performance attracts…

Statistics

Claiming To Be Able To Blame Weather Events On Global Warming

This is not a big story, but it's worth highlighting because of the pernicious effects of science journalism, which suffers from the same faults as political journalism. Emphasis on extremes,…

Philosophy

What’s The Difference Between Explanation & Prediction?

Our main goal is to learn if or how a theory can be falsified. Sound easy? It isn't. In order to get there, we first need to grasp what is…

Culture

Mark Steyn Vs. The Appalling Michael Mann — Guest Post by Richard Law

I met Steyn once at one of the bigger sober global warming meetings. Back when we still called it global warming. I think he was just then beginning his troubles…

Statistics

Making Climate Skepticism Illegal: The Regime’s Crackdown On Disinformation

Update https://twitter.com/TaylorLorenz/status/1526933945949990912 Original story. Before we get into this, it is interesting to note that if I had kept my original headline, "Attempting to make global warming skepticism illegal", it…

Statistics

Science: Force Kids To Mask To Defeat Systemic Racism

Listen to the podcast on Bitchute or Gab. Let's think about evidence, and its nature using a modern peer-reviewed paper as our example. The paper is "Lifting Universal Masking in…

Philosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…

NLR on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 7, 2025
It's a good thing that we don't fully understand intelligence or other topics in psychology or sociology. The knowledge might…
spetzer86 on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 7, 2025
If you'd like a wide selection of radio stations from around the world: https://radio.garden/visit/tefe-am/JSbjvYLx is pretty fun. It's always amazing…
Briggs on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 7, 2025
bruce, Absolutely nowhere will you find me "rejecting" IQ. The opposite is the case. I go out of my way,…
bruce g charlton on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 7, 2025
@WMB - I think you are off on a false trail here. Using "not perfect" as a reason for rejecting…
MikeW on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 7, 2025
Radio is not ending sadly. It is happily transitioning to internet streaming radio. My favorite is the Instrumental Channel on…