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GWPF: How the IPCC Sees What Isn’t There
Posted inStatistics

GWPF: How the IPCC Sees What Isn’t There

I have a new paper with the Global Warming Policy Foundation (if you search for them on Google, that company does not give the url, lest you be corrupted by…
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Pope Benedict’s Final Testament On How Science Cannot Destroy Faith
Posted inPhilosophy

Pope Benedict’s Final Testament On How Science Cannot Destroy Faith

Pope Benedict, as all popes do, left a Spiritual Testament, a short summary of his beliefs to be read after he was dead. Benedict devoted a good portion of his…
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The Worst Attempt To Defend Scientism I Ever Heard
Posted inPhilosophy

The Worst Attempt To Defend Scientism I Ever Heard

A public radio station hosts what they call "The Academic Minute", a name which signals you are in for sixty seconds of pain. This was so in a minute from…
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Lockdowns Saved Trillions! …. Say Models
Posted inStatistics

Lockdowns Saved Trillions! …. Say Models

Joe Nocera --- read his Lockdowns Haven't Proved They’re Worth the Havoc --- sent us an article from the Washington Post which discusses how much money the lockdowns saved us.…
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What The Sports Illustrated Curse Says About The Reproducibility Crisis
Posted inStatistics

What The Sports Illustrated Curse Says About The Reproducibility Crisis

The so-called Sports Illustrated curse is easy to understand. A player or team excels, which is to say it does much better than they usually do, the exceptional performance attracts…
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There Are No Such Things As 100-Year Floods: Global Warming Isn’t Making Floods Worse
Posted inStatistics

There Are No Such Things As 100-Year Floods: Global Warming Isn’t Making Floods Worse

Reader Chuck Lampert writes: Hi Briggs! I got into a kerfluffle with some Climate Apocalypse true believers who said the frequency of 1/50, 1/100, 1/500, and 1/1000 yr floods is…
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We’re Almost Always Right; They’re Almost Always Wrong; Yet They’re Always Believed — Coronadoom Update CXI
Posted inStatistics

We’re Almost Always Right; They’re Almost Always Wrong; Yet They’re Always Believed — Coronadoom Update CXI

I PAT MY BACK Before we begin our main update, allow me to congratulate myself. https://twitter.com/MichaelPSenger/status/1472385507099246592 A screenshot of the picture, in case it disappears, is here. I have said…
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What’s The Difference Between Explanation & Prediction?
Posted inPhilosophy

What’s The Difference Between Explanation & Prediction?

Our main goal is to learn if or how a theory can be falsified. Sound easy? It isn't. In order to get there, we first need to grasp what is…
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  1. terry-oldberg on The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)August 1, 2025

    Dear Briggs iBefore proceeding with your book, i recommend that you read the book entitled 'Foundations of Inductive Reading' the…

  2. Terry oldberg on The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)August 1, 2025

    DEAR BRIGGS; YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE FACT THAT tHE PRINCIPLES OF REASONING ARE 'ENTROPY MINIMAX,' AS DESCRIBED BY…

  3. JH on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionAugust 1, 2025

    But... all human expressions about God are generally made under the premise of "if I were God." lol

  4. NLR on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025

    Presumably if the tea and milk are mixed up sufficiently she couldn't tell from the taste or texture. So I'm…

  5. Gespenst on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025

    Perhaps one can do no better than to say, "Miss Grundworthy was presented with n cups of tea with the…

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