https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1260234198578802690 "Trust science!" says Deng (lower down in the thread). Isn't science self-correcting? "Yes, that's why it's so great." Then science is sometimes wrong? "Well, yes, sometimes." So how do…

ET Jaynes in his must-have Probability Theory: The Logic of Science said, "It appears to be a quite general principle that, whenever there is a randomized way of doing something,…

UNCERTAINTY REQUIREMENTS If you say a calamity will befall me, and ask me to pay to protect against it, the burden is on you to (a) prove the calamity is…

Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Jaynes's book (first part): Video https://videopress.com/v/5KyW27bR?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube Twitter…

Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Jaynes's book (first part): Video https://videopress.com/v/DolQqkWO?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube Twitter…

Part The First: Observations How good is the Pfizer vex in practice? Ask them---or any Expert or ruler---and they will say...well, let's not ask them what they would say. It…