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The Doomsday Argument Is Doomed: Flawed Application Of Bayes
Posted inClass Statistics

The Doomsday Argument Is Doomed: Flawed Application Of Bayes

The WSJ on 27 June 2019 published an essay by William Poundstone on the hoary Doomsday Argument. Many are fooled by this equation, which contains a fundamental, even glaring, flaw.…
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Road Rage: Paper Says Living Near Road Causes Dementia
Posted inStatistics

Road Rage: Paper Says Living Near Road Causes Dementia

Dust is thrilling researchers these days. Dust, or the more scientific sounding PM2.5, is the next greatest struggle after global warming. We've already seen attempts to prove dust, as measured…
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A Failed Argument Against Free Will: Predicting Actions
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Failed Argument Against Free Will: Predicting Actions

It is always hilarious when people rail against free will, who are especially flummoxed that Common Man believes in free will, and say "If only people realized their choices weren't…
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Transgender Madness Update
Posted inCulture

Transgender Madness Update

It is impossible for a man to become a woman. It is possible, and growing more frequent, for a man to pretend to be or to believe he is a…
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This Week In Doom — Opioid Marketing Edition
Posted inCulture

This Week In Doom — Opioid Marketing Edition

Item Accused NY Murderer Gets Charge Dropped Thanks To New Infanticide Law But part of the new infanticide law that Governor Andrew Cuomo just signed "removes abortion from the state's…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan

Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…
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New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing
Posted inStatistics

New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing

Here's a link to the PDF. Briggs, WM, HT Nguyen, D Trafimow, 2019. The Replacement for Hypothesis Testing. In Structural Changes and Their Econometric Modeling, Springer, V Kreinovich, S Sriboonchitta…
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That Paper About Hiring Chief Diversity Officers At Universities
Posted inStatistics

That Paper About Hiring Chief Diversity Officers At Universities

The paper is "The Impact of Chief Diversity Officers on Diverse Faculty Hiring" by Steven W. Bradley, James R. Garven, Wilson W. Law, and James E. West. (Thanks to John…
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  1. hudbwu on Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says AcademicAugust 14, 2025

    To be fair, the center of this article (that I looked at from the link provided) is a reduction-to-absurd argument…

  2. hudbwu on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 14, 2025

    I love how the scale in the last graph is *LoGaRithMic_!

  3. hudbwu on Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating MeatAugust 14, 2025

    Do you remember the time when craving loonies posted these things not in peer-reviewed journals, but on Internet fora? Man,…

  4. NLR on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    From the link at the end of the post: On the one hand, we have the fabricated research of an…

  5. Eddie on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    Of course, AI will fix this -- hahahaha!!

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