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Posted inStatistics

The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill. New Paper

New paper up at Arxiv, which is a sort of précis to some key chapters in my book most relevant to probability and statistical modeling. Abstract: There is a third…
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Posted inStatistics

Response To Trenberth Over “Why Models Run Hot”

Update Be sure to come back on Sunday and see my wrap-up column. A reporter from Nature who could not be brought to understand science was more important than fallacy…
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Posted inCulture

Insurance Companies Raising Prices Because Of Exaggerated Global Warming Threat by Insurance Insider ‘Barton Keyes’

'Barton Keyes' is a pseudonym (which I picked) as the insurance industry insider who penned this article needs to remain anonymous. This article, which tells of how insurance companies will…
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Posted inStatistics

Some Like It Hot: The Hottest Year Ever Inside A Global Warming “Pause”? The Stream. Updates

I rarely ask this, but I'd like you all to go The Stream and pass my article on to as many as you can. (Don't link here, but link at…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Data Do Not Have Means: Or, The Deadly Sin of Reification Strikes Again!

No, data do not have means. Nor do they have variances, autocorrelations, partial or otherwise, nor moments; nor do they have any other statistical characteristic you care to name. Data…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stream: Bishops Demand World-Wide Decarbonization.

Today's post is at The Stream: "Bishops Demand World-Wide Decarbonization". Generally, the less physics a man knows the more he cares about global-warming-of-doom. The reason is simple. In-depth knowledge of…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

For The Love Of Models: A Global Warming Allegory

A very odd thing happened in Science. Turns out a famous weatherman has been forecasting highs in the 60s then 70s for New York City all winter long. But the…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stop Teaching Frequentism; More On That “Altruism” Study; Etc.

Freq Out Reader ECM points us to "The Great Statistical Schism", by a fellow named Brendon Brewer who "is a senior lecturer in the Department of Statistics in Auckland." Brewer…
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  1. Briggs on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 17, 2025

    Scott, One of my hobbies is mentalism, mental magic---I even performed a trick on a Vegas stage! I have lots…

  2. James on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 16, 2025

    The Aquatic Ape Hypothesis might be worthy of exploring for bad science: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aquatic_ape_hypothesis

  3. Scott Locklin on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 16, 2025

    There was a book on the correspondence between Jung and Wolfgang Pauli (who was a genius, but also an alcoholic…

  4. Ralph Mertesdorf on Vegetarians Crave Power And Success More Than Meat Eaters Do, Study FindsJuly 16, 2025

    I found another headline at that "Study Finds" site" "Many Texas Communities Are Dangerously Unprepared For Floods, And Lack Of…

  5. Tars Tarkas on Vegetarians Crave Power And Success More Than Meat Eaters Do, Study FindsJuly 16, 2025

    "39. She always wants to be the one who makes the decisions. She likes to be the leader." This is…

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