Posted inFun Philosophy
I’ve Been Promoted!
Austin Ruse kindly sent me a note to tell me George Gilder referenced Uncertainty in the introduction to his new book, Life After Google: The Fall of Big Data and…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
Why “I Believe Survivors” Is Asinine: Kavanaugh vs. Ford, Realists vs. Fantasists.
We're interested here in why people believe this female Ford's charges against male SCOTUS nominee Kavanaugh. Many progressives say Ford's evidence, even at this late date (I'm editing this on…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan
Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…
Posted inCulture
Math Paper Scuttled By Angry Feminists & Frightened Effeminates: With Critique of the Paper Itself
First, I confess angry feminists and frightened effeminates are grammatical tautologies on the order of unmarried bachelor, but I plead artistic license. These words, while logically flawed, are more arresting.…
Posted inStatistics
That Paper About Hiring Chief Diversity Officers At Universities
The paper is "The Impact of Chief Diversity Officers on Diverse Faculty Hiring" by Steven W. Bradley, James R. Garven, Wilson W. Law, and James E. West. (Thanks to John…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting
Yep I've disagreed with Judea Pearl before on causality, and I do so again below; but first some areas of agreement. Some deep agreement at that. Pearl has a new…
Posted inCulture
Insanity & Doom Update LI — Special Midweek Doom
Still clearing out the Inbox. There is more Doom than we can handle just once a week. Item Winner! Dumbest Combined Tweet-Headline-Story Of all Time. Amid pretty stiff competition, too.…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression
Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.3! Only the example code…