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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2014 Predictions?

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Time to tally. As has become our tradition, each New Year's Eve we see…
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Posted inCulture

Columbia Law School Kiddies ‘Traumatized’, Exams Postponed: Update Harvard Joins

There's a story in John Toland's magisterial The Rising Sun: The Decline and Fall of the Japanese Empire (volume two) which depicts a Japanese ship transporting Western prisoners in conditions…
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Posted inBook review Culture

The Decline & Fall Of Radical Catholicism; Or, What The Synod Will Have Wrought

Update Comments restored. Wordpress is acting strange. The first part of the title isn't mine, but belongs to James Hitchcock who wrote a book of the same name, published in…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

People’s Climate March: The Face Of True Belief #PeoplesClimate

Nice people Ready for a surprise? I liked everybody I met. I mean it. I liked them so much I hated what I had to write below. I liked the…
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Posted inStatistics

The Letter The Lancet Wouldn’t Publish

Here's the title of a big new peer-reviewed paper in The Lancet: Effects of long-term exposure to air pollution on natural-cause mortality: an analysis of 22 European cohorts within the…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

The Moral Case Against Designer Babies

"Should prospective parents seek information about gene variants that increase the risk their children will develop diseases as adults? Should physicians provide that information?" So asks Ronald Bailey, only just…
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Posted inCulture

Trigger Warnings And The Feminismization Of America

Update New & Improved title! I think it was Clint Eastwood who, as Dirty Harry, gave the world's most famous trigger warning: I know what you're thinking: "Did he fire…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Are We Hard-Wired for Faith? Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland is a "retired, cranky, old physicist." This article originally ran in modified form at Reflections of a Catholic Scientist. "Prayer is the raising of one's mind and heart…
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  1. Ronald Conneely on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    Great analysis as usual but be careful, you are bordering on that dreded (R----t) area. Would hate to lose your…

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, that's what I figured, just wanted to verify it. w.

  3. Briggs on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Willis, Sure, you can change the model to remove the probability leakage. Careful modelers would. The vast majority would not,…

  4. William Ward Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    As usual, most fascinating. This may be a foolish question, but since the minimum score is 200, what happens if…

  5. KGB on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    And if my aunt had balls...

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