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The Ersatz Nitrogen Crisis or  Delusional Expertocracy and the Destruction of Dutch Agriculture — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inCulture

The Ersatz Nitrogen Crisis or Delusional Expertocracy and the Destruction of Dutch Agriculture — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

This post also ran at Jaap's site. Introduction The Dutch 'nitrogen crisis' revolves around the misconception that the quality of nature is predominantly determined by N-deposition coming from agriculture. That…
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Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!
Posted inClass Statistics

Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!

The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It…
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Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help
Posted inStatistics

Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help

Mini-paper out in JAMA by Matt Vassar and pals: "Evaluation of Lowering the P Value Threshold for Statistical Significance From .05 to .005 in Previously Published Randomized Clinical Trials in…
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Cornell Professor Exposes His Wee P-values One Too Many Times: All P-values Are P-Hacking
Posted inStatistics

Cornell Professor Exposes His Wee P-values One Too Many Times: All P-values Are P-Hacking

The over-production of wee p-values led to the downfall of Cornell Professor Brian Wansink, who is being made to retire (with what we can guess is a comfortable "package"). We…
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Mask Madness — Our Latest Moral Panic
Posted inStatistics

Mask Madness — Our Latest Moral Panic

https://twitter.com/NYGovCuomo/status/1286278847558819840 We might as well have a tinfoil hat mandate to protect from aliens. It would, at this point, be just as useful. Should somebody tell him about the evidence…
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Does Admitting Spengler’s End Of Science Mean We Have To Accept Ways Of Knowing?
Posted inPhilosophy

Does Admitting Spengler’s End Of Science Mean We Have To Accept Ways Of Knowing?

Let's expand a point made in the post Blish & Spengler On The End Science. Both Blish, in his summary of Spengler, and Spengler himself, said that West Civilization (in…
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Nature Claims Cognitive Performance Declines After Being Exposed To A Candles
Posted inStatistics

Nature Claims Cognitive Performance Declines After Being Exposed To A Candles

I used to review these papers in the hopes people would understand the old ways of doing statistics, in particular experiments on human subjects, were guaranteed to produce over-certainty. I…
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RIP Wolfgang Smith: Philosopher, Scientist, Catholic
Posted inStatistics

RIP Wolfgang Smith: Philosopher, Scientist, Catholic

Catholic philosopher Wolfgang Smith died last Friday at age 94. Smith was one of the first in the movement to restore classical metaphysics to physics. Recall all physics must operate…
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  1. Ed on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    As a teacher who's seen, in the eyes of many a student (pun intended), the inglorious mist of complete misunderstanding,…

  2. Uncle Mike on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    I disagree with your hypothesis that "my career has largely been a failure". You shouldn't expect the world to immediately…

  3. McChuck on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    Modern scientific statistics is nothing more than a roleplaying game based on a 20 sided die. The game master (study…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To SaySeptember 17, 2025

    Sorry, the same printer's devils who occasionally sabotage Dr. Brigg's publications must have attacked my previous post; Should read; "ouroboros".…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To SaySeptember 17, 2025

    I just thunk up a term to describe this scientiststic strain of thought (hmm, is that one pun or two?);…

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