THE CLASS
UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Links to YouTube, Rumble, Bitchute, and Twitter inside each class. Jayne's Book (first part). Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack). Class 2:…
Posted inClass Statistics
Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question
From reader Ernst, this interesting probability/statistics question. First, NNT = number needed to treat, which is, stealing from this site to save time, "The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is…
Posted inStatistics
Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners
Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…
Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores
This is really a Part I of a series of articles about the latest trend (fad?) in statistical biology, but I didn't want to label it that way, which would…
Posted inStatistics
On Cause In Probability Models
Note This post originally ran 11 June 2019 under the title "When Cause Is Not A Cause -- Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The post itself is extracted and modified from this…
Posted inFun
Blog Year In Review: Top 10 Reader & My Favorites
Tune in tomorrow to make your 2020 predictions! Results for 2019 coming Thursday. Reader Favorites Here were the Top 10 reader favorite posts of 2019, in which the numbers surprised…
Posted inStatistics
Science Retracts Paper That Claimed Black Babies Born Smaller Because Of Police Violence
See this peer-reviewed, but then-retracted, paper "Police violence and the health of black infants" by some person calling his- or herself Joscha Legewie? After it was peer reviewed by knowledgeable…
Posted inStatistics
Nature Claims Cognitive Performance Declines After Being Exposed To A Candles
I used to review these papers in the hopes people would understand the old ways of doing statistics, in particular experiments on human subjects, were guaranteed to produce over-certainty. I…