Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Falsifiability Is Falsifiable
We've talked many times before, and at greater length in Uncertanity, about the concept of falsifiability. It has come up again lately. The term shouldn't be but is equivocal. I…
Posted inClass Statistics
Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VII
Review! This is our last week of theory. Next week the practical side begins in earnest. However much fun that will be, and it will be a jolly time, this…
Posted inFun
Register Your Predictions For 2018
As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year later this week.…
Posted inStatistics
Update: That Silly Asylum Applications & Temperature Fluctuations Paper
Update at bottom. I was asked by Axel Bojanowski, Science Editor at Der Spiegel to examine the Science paper "Asylum applications respond to temperature fluctuations" by Anouch Missirian and Wolfram…
Posted inClass Statistics
Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VI
Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! Last time…
Posted inStatistics
The Sixth and Best Way to Fix Statistics
Nature had Five ways to fix statistics, which asked a few folks, some of whom are our friends, how to shore up the sandy soil of statistics. Thanks to Al…
Posted inClass Statistics
Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part III
You must review: Part I, II. Not reviewing is like coming to class late and saying "What did I miss?" Note the New & Improved title! Here are the main…
Posted inStatistics
Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing — Update: Paper Finally Live!
A new paper has been submitted to a well known journal, "Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing: Comments on 'Redefine Statistical Significance'", by David Trafimow, Valentin Amrhein, Fernando…