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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part Last

Read Part I, Part Paradox, Part II Recapitulation: we have Pr(p|qm) where p is a proposition of interest, q the evidence we have compiled in the form of observations and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part II

Read Part I, Part Paradox I claimed, and it is true, that all statistical problems could be written $latex \Pr(p|q)$, where p is a proposition of interest and q is…
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Posted inFun Philosophy

#ICanChangeThePast2, Or, Tweeting Time Travel

You're a time traveler stuck in July 2012. How depressing. You have time on your hands. Time to kill, that is. How to pass the time? Twitter, naturally. Great time…
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Posted inStatistics

Racist Researchers, The Racists, Accuse Gun Owners Of Racism, You Racist

That kick-butt guy in the black wig is me, kung fu-ing the stuffing out of asinine research. Listen to the klaxon clang as evildoers discover we are among them! Or…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Pearl of Great Price–Pascal’s Wager Revisited: Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland is a self-described "retired, cranky, old physicist" and convert to Catholicism. He blogs at Reflections of a Catholic Scientist, where this piece first appeared. Again, the kingdom of…
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Posted inStatistics

Jumping The Infinity Shark: An Answer To Senn; Part Last

Read Part V From his page 55 (as before slightly edited for HTML/LaTex): Consider the case of a binary event where the two outcomes are success, S, or failure F…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part Final: Parameters!

(All the stuff in this series is, in a fuller form, in my new upcoming book, which is tentatively called Logical Probability and Statistics---but I've only changed the title 342…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

Cosmology: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part IV

Part III Remember, we're doing summaries of summaries here; only bare sketches are possible. Buy his book for more detail. Question IV is Cosmology. The most contentious scientific question is…
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  1. N.S. Palmer on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 26, 2026

    The problem arises because we sense a conflict of duties. Reason demands that we base conclusions on the evidence. Morality…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 25, 2026

    Interesting, but he could have said everything he had to say in half as many words.

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 25, 2026

    Whatever women's intellectual deficiency, they make up for it with raw animal cunning.

  4. Dan MacDougald on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 25, 2026

    Paul Johnson, the great British Historian, in his "History of the American People," the US started down the road to…

  5. Marbles! – William M. Briggs on Marbles!June 24, 2026

    […] I am on the road and am way behind on posts—I have a 3,500 word article on deriving Oughts…

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