Posted inStatistics
Jumping The Infinity Shark: An Answer To Senn; Part Last
Read Part V From his page 55 (as before slightly edited for HTML/LaTex): Consider the case of a binary event where the two outcomes are success, S, or failure F…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part Final: Parameters!
(All the stuff in this series is, in a fuller form, in my new upcoming book, which is tentatively called Logical Probability and Statistics---but I've only changed the title 342…
Posted inBook review Philosophy
Cosmology: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part IV
Part III Remember, we're doing summaries of summaries here; only bare sketches are possible. Buy his book for more detail. Question IV is Cosmology. The most contentious scientific question is…
Posted inStatistics
EPA’s Climate Change Adaptation Plan
The EPA has asked for my advice.1 They will not listen to, or harken, or act on this advice, but asking for it gives them a sense that they have…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Bayesian Probability & Swinburne’s P-Inductive & C-Inductive Arguments (For God’s Existence)
Because I am jet-lagged (and fundamentally lazy) here is a classic post, modified to include a homework assignment. Don't be like me: do the work. This post contains some fundamental…
Posted inStatistics
Lightning May Cause Headaches, Moon May Cause Domestic Intranquility
I have discovered a statistically significant correlation between phases of the moon and domestic harmony. Every day for several months I filled out the Domestic Harmony Inventory (DHI), a scientifically…
Posted inStatistics
Precaution: Part III—Guest Post by J.C. Hanekamp
Read Part II. Precaution is essential, so the tale goes, to create policies and laws that focus on and tackle uncertainty that might be the foreboding of particular risks. The…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Precaution: Part II—Guest Post by J.C. Hanekamp
For all the flurry surrounding precaution---being portrayed as a decisional/procedural instrument to protect human and environmental health from the (potential) dangers of human activities---the history shows that we are dealing…