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Posted inStatistics

Chapter 10 of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics FREE for New Subscribers!

Today a deal so unbelievable that it can't be believed! No, wait. In fact, the deal was so unbelievable that it couldn't be believed. This follows logically: that which is…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Uncertainty Reviewed Again: It is such a good book, and I recommend it without reservation

Don Aitkin, author of Moving On: A Tale of the Millennium, also available here, and feted here, and reviewed here, has reviewed my Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability and…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

A Deep Philosophical Account Of Probability

Another review of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, this one taken from an Amazon customer. It was 7 or 8 years ago when I was sitting in…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

‘Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics’ Reviewed Again

The following review appeared in the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons (pdf). Jane Orient is the lead doc at Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, publishers of the journal.…
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Posted inStatistics

Bad Science Used to Block Americans’ Access to Life-Saving Technology

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rbf_TXqEY-Y Our friend Jane Orient, lead doc at Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, put out the release below, in which she very kindly mentions Yours Truly. The AAPS runs…
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Posted inStatistics

Gonorrhea, Wee P-values, and Tax Increases

Adventurous reader Ted Poppke discovered a peer-reviewed paper that, according to the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), proved that increasing sales tax on booze "caused a 24% decrease in gonorrhea cases…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Falsifiability Is Not That Useful

False is not True We spoke earlier of falsification and why I didn't think it was an especially useful criterion. My tweets about it inspired Deborah Mayo, who advocates for…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Is Most Published Research Wrong? Yep. Here’s Why

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42QuXLucH3Q One of my students---my heart soars like a hawk!---sent me the video linked above. I'll assume you've watched it, as my comments make reference to it. About the dismal…
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  1. Eric Kay Sci Fi on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Thanks for the write-up. Thinking about things in the way of a probability distribution has always helped me, but also…

  2. Philip Rogan on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Brian, good comment. A coincidence is only a coincidence to the person to which the coincidence occurred.

  3. John Pate on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Now do Synchronicity.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  5. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

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