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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

The Top Five Mistakes In Marketing Statistics

Forgive me the title, won't you? It is my own creation, I admit, but numbered promises are eminently clickable. Plus they are the norm in business writing. Anyway, the real…
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Posted inStatistics

Every Family Has Children Until They Have A Boy: Probability Stumper

Reader Bryan Davies quoted a poser from Math Overflow (have we heard of that?) which read: In a country in which people only want boys every family continues to have…
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Posted inStatistics

Johnson’s Revised Standards For Statistical Evidence

Thanks to the many readers who sent me Johnson's paper, which is here (pdf). Those who haven't will want to read "Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof", the material…
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Posted inStatistics

Robert Heinlein And The Distinction Between Scientist vs Academician

Christos Argyropoulos ‏(@ChristosArgyrop) asked me to comment on his post of the same title at the blog Statistical Reflections of a Medical Doctor. Heinlein: One can judge from experiment, or…
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Posted inStatistics

(Most) Everything Wrong With Time Series

It came out at my recent meeting that a compilation of everything wrong with time series was in order. A lot of this I've done before, and so, just as…
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Posted inStatistics

Topographical Data Analysis Next Great Hope

Everybody who remembers how neural nets were going to save the world, raise your hands. Little higher. Make sure everybody sees. Well, you were wrong, weren't you. They've all but…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Logical Probability Data Analysis, Measurement Error Example

Read the introduction to this first. If you don't, you will be lost, lost, lost. Logical probability answer to B The answer to B follows from A. The picture is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Alternative To P-Values

I apologize for the abruptness of the notation. It will be understandable only to a few. I don't like to use it without sufficient background because the risk of reification…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With PersonalityOctober 22, 2026

    Across the world, many jurisdictions ban pet "pit bulls". Are they in error?

  2. NLR on Against Numerology: Some Basic CalculationsOctober 19, 2026

    The mathematician Richard Guy wrote a paper "The strong law of small numbers", where he said, facetiously, but also serirously:…

  3. aGrimm on Book UpdateOctober 16, 2026

    I'm looking forward to the book; warts and all the first was enlightening and fun to read.

  4. John Pate on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I'm a big fan of LaTeX. I wrote a class package that made it into one or more of the…

  5. Ursula on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    i have your first edition which I read, pencil in hand foor the typos. Loved it anyway! Will be buying…

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