Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV
In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III
We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II
The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…
Posted inStatistics
Two New Papers vs. BEST: Guest Post by Lüdecke, Link, and Ewert
Horst Lüdecke is a Professor of Physiker in EIKE, European Institute for Climate and Energy, Heidelberg; Dr. Link is a physicist with EIKE; Prof. Dr. Friedrich-Karl Ewert is a geologist…
Posted inStatistics
BEST’s Worst Work; What Is Significant?
You will have already seen this comparison graph from the Daily Mail. That paper points out correctly that the version of the plot provided by BEST is presented in such…
Posted inStatistics
D.J. Keenan’s And My BEST Methodology Reviews
Doug Keenan was asked by The Economist to have a gander at the statistics developed by the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project. He did so. We must resist extensive…
Posted inStatistics
The Implications Of Yesterday’s Global Warming Post
There was nothing in the world wrong with my scientific paper "Global Warming Increases Disastrous Music: A Scientific Paper." Nothing, that is, that isn't wrong with any paper which seeks,…
Posted inStatistics
Statistical Results Associated With Increased Risk Of Exaggerating Risk
Our title, which is indistinguishable from a flood of others1, might read, "Reading Articles About The Misuse Of Statistics Increases Risk Of Apoplexy." Yes, for every article you read like…