Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
On Probability Leakage
Submitted for your approval, yet another paper. On Probability Leakage, posted at Arxiv. Once you, my beloved readers, have had a go with it, I'll incorporate your comments in an…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What’s The Difference Between A Confidence Interval And A Credible Interval? Update
Twitter @ceptional reminded me of this post, which I had forgotten. Since it is highly relevant to The Great Bayesian Switch, I decided to repost. Some minor errors in grammar…
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics
The Great Bayesian Switch
Update: See this post on the definition of confidence and credible intervals. Submitted for your approval, a new paper. A polemic describing in nascent terms the paradise that awaits us…
Posted inStatistics
Can fMRI Predict Who Believes In God? Part VI
Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII The description on the use of the fMRI (how it works, voltages, etc.) appears, to…
Posted inStatistics
Can fMRI Predict Who Believes In God? Part V
Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII Quick review: people's heads were stuck in an fMRI; inside, they read questions to which…
Posted inStatistics
CARB Misinterprets Statistics, Calls For Elimination Of Dust
The California Air Resources Board, or CARB, has issued a press release that shows how easy it is to misunderstand statistics. That most do---fail to comprehend what statistical results are…
Posted inStatistics
What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus
This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV
In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…