Search Results for “pause” – William M. Briggs

Why Things Slightly Improving Makes Things Worse

Here is the patented Briggs Path of Decadence Curve. The pattern is obvious. An overall gradual decline, interspersed with fairly regular upward swings of sanity. But with the same inevitable…

Culture

The Border Happening & The Weakness Of The Regime

Simple math: 5,000 x 365 = 1,825,000. Check me. Is it right? That 5,000 is the number of "migrants" the Regime Senate would allow in each day---each and every day…

Statistics

Scientists Induce Apoplexy (In Me) In Attempting To Tie Stroke To “Climate Change”

In my free and it-don't-cost-nuthin' class notes Breaking the Law of Averages (pdf), I have a homework question which goes something like this: Explain why, no matter the goodness of…

Statistics

Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?

Here is an anecdote---one of several in a theme, they say---about the actor Jim Caviezel during the filming of Mel Gibson's The Passion of the Christ: This was especially evident…

Culture

The Cry Of The Fat Scientists

Theo (Chelsea) Newbold is a chemist. And fat. A fat chemist. A fat female chemist. This is not me saying so. This is the preeminent science journal in the world…

Statistics

Academics Say Morality Isn’t Decreasing, But The Increasing Numbers Who Say It Is Decreasing Cause Morality To Decrease

This is part of our Mind of Academics series. I struggled both long, and, yes, hard, to come up with a clever joke to introduce today's academic "research", which claims…

Class Statistics

Class 7: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Intuition Check

Link to all Classes. Video Thanks to an anonymous donor for the gift of the new equipment, which has resulted in a New & Improved! picture and sound. Thanks, too,…

Statistics

What The Law Of Large Numbers Really Means

JJ Couey, who hosts a podcast well known to some of you, and friend of the Broken Science Initiative, asked me about the so-called Law of Large Numbers. Jay wonders…

hudbwu on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJuly 1, 2025
The wrinkle is in the (pseudo-)random number generator. In principle, the random number generator can be hijacked by a higher…
hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025
I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…
hudbwu on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJuly 1, 2025
> It is a characteristic of the breed—on average: we speak in generalities here—that in any argument women do not…
Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.
spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…