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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Paper Claims Surprisingly Strong Link Between Climate Change And Violence. Nonsense.

When does more crime happen, in winter or summer? Why? Too easy. How about this one: according to the FBI, what was the violent crime rate over time? No need…
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Posted inStatistics

A Common, Unfortunate, Avoidable, Devastating Error In Statistics

It's a doozy, this error of ours. So ubiquitous is it that it's hardly noticeable. Yet it is sinking us into scientism and wild overconfidence. Every time it appears, both…
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Posted inStatistics

That Conservatives Smell Different Than Progressives Study Stinks

Several readers asked me to examine the peer-reviewed study "Assortative Mating on Ideology Could Operate Through Olfactory Cues" by Rose McDermott, Dustin Tingley, and Peter K. Hatemi appearing in the…
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Posted inStatistics

A Wandering Mind Is An Unhappy Mind?

The gentleman who runs Shadow To Light asked me to take a look at a paper which Sam Harris approvingly quoted. The 2010 peer-reviewed one-page paper shares today's title (sans…
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Posted inStatistics

That Innovation Is Negatively Correlated With Religion Study

Quick Quiz O' The Day: What do you get when you marry an abysmal knowledge of history, a sublime narcissism, an ignorance of the nature of evidence, a perverse hatred…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Science-Is-Self-Correcting Fallacy

"You know my theory is true," said the grant-wielding scientist, "Because science is self-correcting." That statement is a fallacy because, of course, even supposing that science is self-correcting, there is…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Not A Body. Update

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Update I…
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Posted inStatistics

Exposure To Fracking Reduces Low-Birth-Weight Babies

Shouldn't a peer-reviewed paper which purports to tie chemicals produced in the manufacture of natural gas (fracking etc.) to birth defects actually measure exposure (of fetus carriers, i.e. "mothers") to…
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