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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Paper Claims Surprisingly Strong Link Between Climate Change And Violence. Nonsense.

When does more crime happen, in winter or summer? Why? Too easy. How about this one: according to the FBI, what was the violent crime rate over time? No need…
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Posted inStatistics

A Common, Unfortunate, Avoidable, Devastating Error In Statistics

It's a doozy, this error of ours. So ubiquitous is it that it's hardly noticeable. Yet it is sinking us into scientism and wild overconfidence. Every time it appears, both…
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Posted inStatistics

That Conservatives Smell Different Than Progressives Study Stinks

Several readers asked me to examine the peer-reviewed study "Assortative Mating on Ideology Could Operate Through Olfactory Cues" by Rose McDermott, Dustin Tingley, and Peter K. Hatemi appearing in the…
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Posted inStatistics

A Wandering Mind Is An Unhappy Mind?

The gentleman who runs Shadow To Light asked me to take a look at a paper which Sam Harris approvingly quoted. The 2010 peer-reviewed one-page paper shares today's title (sans…
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Posted inStatistics

That Innovation Is Negatively Correlated With Religion Study

Quick Quiz O' The Day: What do you get when you marry an abysmal knowledge of history, a sublime narcissism, an ignorance of the nature of evidence, a perverse hatred…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Science-Is-Self-Correcting Fallacy

"You know my theory is true," said the grant-wielding scientist, "Because science is self-correcting." That statement is a fallacy because, of course, even supposing that science is self-correcting, there is…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Not A Body. Update

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Update I…
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Posted inStatistics

Exposure To Fracking Reduces Low-Birth-Weight Babies

Shouldn't a peer-reviewed paper which purports to tie chemicals produced in the manufacture of natural gas (fracking etc.) to birth defects actually measure exposure (of fetus carriers, i.e. "mothers") to…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 99: Entropy Part IOctober 31, 2026

    During the summer of 1977, I was living with a woman who had a 2 year old daughter. My brother,…

  2. Ultrarightist on Book Update: Launch DateOctober 29, 2026

    Briggs, Thanks for the reply and the information. That is unfortunate. Hardbacks aren't made like they used to be, and…

  3. McChuck on Class 99: Entropy Part IOctober 29, 2026

    Entropy is described as a numerical rating of chaos. This is more confusing than not, and a poor descriptor, even…

  4. Briggs on Book Update: Launch DateOctober 28, 2026

    Ultrarightist, Apparently not: They use case laminate (also called adhesive case binding or image-wrap) construction: The page block is glued…

  5. Cary Cotterman on Book Update: Launch DateOctober 28, 2026

    Most book stores have a rack where employees put new books they've read, accompanied by short, usually hand-written reviews. It's…

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