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William M. Briggs

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Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way

Claims of control are almost always false or misleading. "Controlling for" sex or age or anything in probability models is not true control. It's just adding things to models. Vast…
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The Superpower You Didn’t Know You Had
Posted inStatistics

The Superpower You Didn’t Know You Had

Once again, for the statistically accurate umpteenth time, I saw some of our guys lamenting, cursing, hand-wringing, shouting and delivering various clever imprecations over yet another Hollywood abomination. This time…
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Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

Be sure to review the RIGHT way from last week. Today, of the infinite number of ways to go sour, we look at one common way modeling goes awry. Video…
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The Lancet’s New Push To Ban Meat
Posted inStatistics

The Lancet’s New Push To Ban Meat

Science is not the answer. It cannot be "because Science" that you ought to give up meat. Which Harvard scientists want you to do in the name of "justice". And,…
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‘Termination Shock’: Newest Entry In Science Doom Naming Contest
Posted inStatistics

‘Termination Shock’: Newest Entry In Science Doom Naming Contest

What's need in Science is a hot topic. A band wagon on which one can jump with gusto, grabbing its great Grips of Grants, guides which ensure success and promotion.…
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Changing Clocks In Fall Will Stroke You Out, Fatty: Research
Posted inStatistics

Changing Clocks In Fall Will Stroke You Out, Fatty: Research

(My enemies changed the title. I have changed it back. They will pay for this insolence.) Daylight savings time is something that angers many performatively, more than in truth. If…
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How You Helped Academics Justify Sex With Children
Posted inStatistics

How You Helped Academics Justify Sex With Children

It is remarkable that persons most likely to screech at you about "believing in" evolution are apt to say things like "Trans women are women" or speak of "pregnant people",…
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In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No Value
Posted inStatistics

In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No Value

Given Sabine's penchant for posting overly shocked thumbnails for her video splash-screens, I present this equivalent dramatic image. I like to tease Sabine Hossenfelder, especially when she chooses to inform…
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  1. John Pate on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 28, 2026

    Another thing to model: the age at which the mother gives birth to the children. Mothers who give birth in…

  2. Dennis Larkin on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 27, 2026

    Medieval Cathars avoided sexual carnality. They fought militarily against the kings for a time, going down to defeat, while their…

  3. JRob on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 27, 2026

    re: Shawn Marshall Just yesterday my email folder contained a conservative political call to oppose the upcoming abortion amendment to…

  4. C-Marie on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 27, 2026

    Have they rallied around the mother who killed her three children because she killed her three children, , or have…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 27, 2026

    As we read today's post on..."motherhood", a Massachusetts jury is determining the fate of a mother who killed her 3…

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