Posted inStatistics
Live From Heartland Climate Conference, Wrap Up
Profound thanks I cannot say enough about the generosity of my benefactor, who not only footed the bill for my trip, but wined and dined and rummed our Secret Society…
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics
Do You Believe In Global Warming Because Of The Seriousness Of The Charges?
An activist tells you, "Based on my theory of rampant, out-of-control global warming, otters, driven mad by the heat, will take to the streets and destroy mankind, just like apes…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
The Consensus Fallacy
Here is the word-for-word opening in the Vox "explanatory journalism" tidbit "John Oliver shows how to debate climate deniers": That climate change is occurring, and that humans are the primary…
Posted inCulture
Global Warming Update: Titanic Sunk! Contest Update: Other Historical Events. Update: Not Me!
Been a while since I looked out the climate window, because why? Because I figured there'd be nothing to see. After two decades of failed forecasts I assumed most modelers…
Posted inCulture
The Coming Schism
Maybe it's not a schism but apostasy which I mean. Doesn't matter. Continuing in our Curmudgeon Series, here are my guesses of the course of Christianity in the West over…
Posted inBook review Culture Statistics
Party’s Over, Baby: The Twilight of Abundance Reviewed
The Twilight of Abundance: Why Life in the 21st Century Will Be Nasty, Brutish, and Short by David Archibald, visiting Fellow Institute of World Politics. I am a curmudgeon, which…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Regression Really Is: Part II
Read Part I Let's continue our example. Suppose our regression shows that the probability of a Hate score greater than 5 is 60% for men and 80% for women---for people…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
Belgian “Doctors” To Kill Kids They Think They Can’t Cure
Belgium has just made it legal for "doctors" to kill children. Not those who haven't yet escaped the womb---those kids have been fair game for any quack with a sharp…