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How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis
Posted inStatistics

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1
Posted inStatistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1

We are finally at the most crucial part of the modeling process: proving if the damned thing works. Not "works" in the sense that we get good unobservable parameter estimates,…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression

Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan

Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.3! Only the example code…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VI New (Free) Software Poisson Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VI New (Free) Software Poisson Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.22! Only the example code…
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Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part V New (Free) Software Multinomial Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.22! Only the example code…
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  1. Brian ( bulaoren) on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026

    Ps. When I saw "River's Edge", it reminded me of a, weirdly, morally ambiguous 1950s Hitchcock film (with Jerry "Beaver"…

  2. Cary Cotterman on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026

    As a child in the 1960s, I tended to get injured more often in warm months than in cold months,…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026

    Today's subject seems a bit too warm to touch. Well, somebody has to break the ice (9?). I keep remembering…

  4. Tars Tarkas on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026

    "Our results suggest instead that child neglect is measurably responsive to high temperatures—parents are intentionally or unintentionally allowing their young…

  5. gareth on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 7, 2026

    So, was there any actual plant bothering done? Or was this all "thought experiment"? It was not clear to me…

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