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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IV New (Free) Software Logistic Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IV New (Free) Software Logistic Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.21! Only the example code changed…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2

Mandatory! Read Part I, Part II. I will ignore all comments already answered in Parts I & II. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part II New (Free) Software Regression 1
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part II New (Free) Software Regression 1

Mandatory! Read Part I. I will ignore all comments already answered in Part I. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. Update If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.2!…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part I New (Free) Software Introduction
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part I New (Free) Software Introduction

Introduction Here's what we always want, but never get, using the old ways of doing statistics: The probability that some proposition Y is true given certain assumptions. Like this:     …
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Posted inStatistics

Risk Analysis And Over Certainty: Classical vs. Bayesian vs. Predictive Statistics

There are two main uses of statistics by civilians, defined as folks who use statistics, who may have even had a class or two in the subject, but who are…
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Posted inStatistics

Predictive Statistics: GPA Case Study, Part II

Read Part I : Download the Quirk’s article. To understand why ordinary regression assumptions are bad, we need to look at some (new data) scenarios. Suppose that Bob had a…
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Posted inStatistics

Predictive Statistics: GPA Case Study, Part I

Read Part II : Download the Quirk’s article. Predictive statistics differs from classical (frequentist and Bayesian) practices because it focuses on observables and not metaphysical entities. Observables are the data…
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More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics

Here it is, friends, the one complete universal simple function, the only function you will ever need to fit any---I said any---dataset x. And all it takes is one---I said…
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  1. Neil Jordan on Class 94: Quantifying The UnquantifiableSeptember 17, 2026

    At last, an opportunity to join you in the "Quagmire of Marginal Statistics." This and later quote are from memory…

  2. McChuck on The MRS Degree — Guest Post by Johnathan EdwardsSeptember 17, 2026

    "South Korea and Japan will no longer exist, perhaps in our lifetime, if they don’t start reproducing or bringing more…

  3. McChuck on PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampSeptember 17, 2026

    How many of the breast milk lab techs (doesn't that sound filthy out of context?) were wearing latex gloves, known…

  4. JH on PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampSeptember 16, 2026

    The alternative to preserved clay is, sooner rather than later, mouldy clay… Does this mean to create fear? There are…

  5. Cary Cotterman on PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampSeptember 16, 2026

    Growing up in the late 1950s, I played with modeling clay almost every day. Who knows, back then it was…

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