There is that which is, and that which we can know about what is. Both feed the other. Probability belongs to the second subject. If you want to know what…
I received thoughtful questions from EB about my views of probability and how they fit with science. This is long, but the questions alone make it worth reading. The end…
Every so often people return to the "probability of God." Here are three men doing that. They worry about "priors" and "posteriors" and all the heavy apparatus of probability theory…
Most heard the news there is a 2.4% chance a giant rock from space bringing something like an 8 Megaton blast might whack us in 2032. But I was interested…
Here my friends is the whole of probability and uncertainty, in highlight form. A quick overview of where we have been, what we're doing, and where we're going. All can…
We did Newcomb's Paradox (so called) years ago, and a twist in premises after that. But I thought it would be fun to revisit, because I had some new ideas…
Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Jaynes's book (first part): Video https://videopress.com/v/kidECJUZ?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube Twitter…
Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Jaynes's book (first part): Video https://videopress.com/v/WeWMEcfn?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube Twitter…