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Posted inStatistics

Third Way Of Probability & Statistics Gets Comments

I just discovered a written comment, actually two, on my sketch-paper "The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill". Now when I…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Infinity, (Physical) Parameters, Fine Tuning, & Probability

Via Ed Feser I was led back to Alvin Plantinga's Where the Conflict Really Lies: Science, Religion, and Naturalism, which has a lot about probability. I'll not do much of…
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Posted inStatistics

The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill. New Paper

New paper up at Arxiv, which is a sort of précis to some key chapters in my book most relevant to probability and statistical modeling. Abstract: There is a third…
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Posted inStatistics

Video: The Crisis Of Evidence, Or, Why Probability & Statistics Cannot Discover Cause

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rbf_TXqEY-Y Thanks to Jeremy Snavely at DDP for putting up the talks. Here's a direct link. Here's the paper. Q & A starts around 52:30 minutes. Since some readers were…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability & Statistics Cannot Prove Cause

Correlation I was at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness conference in Ontario (LA) California and gave my paper The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause, which…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause. New Paper

Cancer of the albondigas is horrifyingly under-diagnosed. See your doctor today and ask him if Profitizol is right for you. Today's post, in a way, is at Arxiv: The Crisis…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability’s Empirical Bias

Bit of logic (a favorite example) from our teacher Lewis Carroll: given "All cats understand French and that some chickens are cats", what can we say about the proposition "Some…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Probability Non-Paradox

Before you is a box in which is a slip of paper on which is written either '0', '1', '2', or '3'. Given that premise, what is the probability of…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    Nuking seems like such an architectural waste. Would it be possible to just quickly and cleanly eliminate university-infesting life forms,…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    How long will it take for carnival rides to start complaining about being "objectified"?

  3. Pk on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    The Gravity ride was introduced in 2015. What is the age of consent for an amusement park ride?

  4. Rich on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    I'm presuming that "centrifugal logic" is reasoning that flees from sense.

  5. shawn marshall on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    all I can say is "Oh my" Romans 1: 16-32 I think

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