I know I wasn't going to inflict upon you more What Are The Chances...? videos, but this was so topical, and fit in so well with the Class, that I…

This class is a must watch for all; or at least a must read. I've been showing you how badly cause is misidentified in sciences which use statistics. Today a…

Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Jaynes's book (first part): Video https://videopress.com/v/RgldTd03?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube Twitter…

Two coincidences today, which I believe fall into our two classes. Though, of course, as you will see by the end, my classifications can be disputed. Recall what the classes…

Note: I wrote this on Saturday morning before the events of Sunday hilariously vindicated the conclusions below. My point was to illustrate how bets are not probabilities, though they do…

All can and should read this post! Not just those actively taking the Class. This is an introduction to Epidemiology, a science which has done tremendous damage to clear thinking.…

Laplace infamously calculated the probability, given his evidence, the sun would rise in the east tomorrow at (something like) 0.9999995. Many objected, saying it's much higher. Who was right? Laplace!…

My friends, as arcane as all this seems, we will need this in the Restoration. We need to restore Reality in all things, including Science. Link to all Classes. Video…